Nightmare on St. Louis Street!

Posted on October 31, 2011

Betting Massacre The only thing hotter than my picks the last two weeks was the humble pie I got served this weekend.  I started the festivities by picking the wrong horse to take game seven of the World Series.  Yes, I had said I thought the Cards would win the series before the first pitch was thrown, but in typical over-thinker fashion I outsmarted myself.  I then entered a comment to the Friday article on Saturday saying I was betting on two UFC fights.  The first was a 2 to 1 underdog, but I could not see the old Croatian legend Mirko Cro Cop losing to the fat mullet man in Roy “Big Country” Nelson.  Cro Cop had some good shots on Roy, and even landed his famous roundhouse leg kick.  But Nelson’s chin was unreal and he eventually got his huge fat frame on top of Cro Cop and pounded him into a stoppage in the third round.  The other fight was the main event of the evening.  BJ “The Prodigy” Penn versus Nick Diaz.  I was a small dog in this one as well but I was confident.  Every other fight BJ shows up out of shape having sipped to many mai tai’s on the big island.  Also he was going up against a cardio fiend in Diaz, with a ground game to match or even surpass BJ’s.  Diaz pounded BJ out of the UFC as a despondednt Penn ran out of the ring only saying to Joe Rogan, “I am done, I don’t want my kids seeing me like this”.  So at this point I lost $100 on the World Series, and gained $30 on UFC, not to bad right?

Then came my four NFL picks.  I had two 1:00pm bets going and watched in horror as the Dolphins to a 14-3 lead in the 2nd quarter and I was giving 9.5 points!  Not only was this bet over, but I also had selected the Giants in my drop dead pool…yikes!  This quickly turned from somehow rooting for and amazing comeback cover, to just get the win…please.  At the same time I had my best bet pick of the weekend going, and what a pick it was.  The New Orleans Saints would clearly crush the winless St. Louis Rams by two touchdowns right?  They loose outright getting smoked by 10 and never had a chance.  I guess the fact that the Cards were honored at the Rams game could be considered a bit of irony for me?  The Giants end up saving my drop dead pool but lose the bet. 0-2 heading into the 4:00pm games and a loss of $315.  As I am watching the Patriots getting beat up all over the field I am clicking to the red zone for updates on my third NFL pick of the weekend, the San Fran versus Cleveland game in which I am getting 9 points.  San Fran cruises to a 17-0 lead.  It looks like its going to just be one of those days.  The Browns actually decide to tease me a little and have several chances to get within 9 and give me a much needed win, but alas… I lose, again, another $120 gone on that one.  That makes $505 down heading into my last bet of the night.  I took the Eagles -3 versus the Cowboys and I finally get a reprieve.  The Eagles demolish the Boys and I finish the weekend going from $1,217 to $812.

Monday night looms, all hollows eve is upon us and my TiVo will be in full effect as I walk around the neighborhood avoiding other dads who may be inclined to talk pigskin.  Should be in candy sorting mode by kickoff so I think I will be in good shape.  Interesting matchup with San Diego coming off blowing one to the Jets.  They are on the road again and facing the Chiefs in that crazy Arrowhead sea of red.  The Chiefs have comeback a little from a horrid start and this is a division game.  I need a win to right the ship again, and this pie taste awful.

News & Notes

- What is the over under on shots of people in costume for tonights game?  I will set the line at 38.

Bet of the Night

San Diego -3 Vs. Kansas City  Bet $115 to win $100

The crowd is not a factor if you get off to an early lead.  I think the skill players come up big for San Diego and KC’s offense struggles.  Rivers shakes off the multi pick game bug he has been stricken with and eats up KC with over the middle throws via a poor KC pass rush.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  93-86-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.00%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-16-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-8
Best Best Win Percentage = 66.66%

Kitty Total = $817.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($324.21.)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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Week 8 Picks & The World Series!

Posted on October 28, 2011

Who Get's This?

Some have called it a classic.  Some have tweeted “best game ever”.  One thing is for sure, as I have said before, nothing beats playoff baseball.  The intensity, the story lines, and yes the drama, of a seven game series can not be matched.  That game last night while not the best ever (to many errors for that), was absolutely riveting.  I watched it later into the night than most as I played in a poker game that had me getting home around 11:30 pm eastern No wins in 4 games but one cash for 2nd place coming back from one chip).  Having two bets on the game I had to watch and resisted the temptation to fast forward.  I won both bets by the 7th inning and continued to watch for the pure joy the rest of the way, until I heard alarm clocks going off upstairs.  Needless to say, I am a little tired at the moment.  Also there is still room on the Freese Bandwagon, come aboard.

When this series started I said I liked the underdog Cardinals, but I am not a fan of betting an entire series outcome.  I prefer to bet game by game.  Now here we are at Game 7 and I am glad I made that decision to not bet the series because I would be locked in to the Cardinals tonight, with Carpenter on three days rest. This I am not a fan of, and it is something the New Hampshire native has never done before.  Matt Holliday is out with a bad wrist as well.  I am going with the Rangers (who are not favored).

Have to bang out the picks for this weekend as its a busy Friday night and Saturday around here.  I do not even have time to crow about being above the starting number of $1,141.43 for the first time in forever.  It may not last long as I am laying $650 on this line tonight and this weekend. Things are heating up.

Bets of the Night/Weekend

Texas Rangers To Win Game 7  Vs. St. Louis Cardinals  Bet $100 to Win $123

Just like another home team many years back won game six with a big walk-off home run and went on to lose Game 7 in front of stunned fans, so will be the case here.  This game will lack the drama of the last one as the Rangers get to Carpenter early and the bull pen holds on.

Saints -13.5 Vs. Rams  Bet $210 to win $200

Lot of points for the road, and I do not see the Saints putting up 6o plus points in this one, but the Rams are a sieve on defense leading me to make this a best bet.

Giants -9.5 Vs. Dolphins  Bet $105 to win $100

Miami on the road.  Miami is looking for two things right now.  A coach and the first pick in the draft. The only thing keeping me from doubling up on this one is of course Eli.

Browns +9 Vs. 49er’s  Bet $120 to win $100

San Fran despite its record should not be favored by this many to anyone, even at home.  No Hillis for the Browns but I think they keep this close and McCoy makes the throws he needs to make.

Eagles -3 Vs. Cowboys Bets $115 to win $100

Vick runs around enough to avoid the big Dallas rushers while Romo pulls a Romo at some point. This spread was 3.5 but I paid a little extra to make it a straight 3 point spread.

Have a good weekend, check in for a possible weekend update article.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  91-81-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.97%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 18-13-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 69.56%

Kitty Total = $1,217.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  +$75.79

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


One Response

  1. Ross:

    FYI, UFC tonight and I placed two bets, Cro Cop over Roy Nelson Bet $100 to win $200, Nick Diaz over BJ Penn in the main event Bet $100 to win $130. Nice Job Cards (always trust the first instinct gut play).

    29.10.2011 13:22 Reply

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St. Louis Blues…

Posted on October 27, 2011

Joe Buck and Tim McCarverI cannot image being a diehard Texas Ranger fan and having to suffer through watching this World Series on Fox.  For a real sense of how annoying this must be, we first have to to rewind to the 2010 World Series.  The Texas Rangers find themselves in their first World Series appearance in their 50 year history as a franchise.  The series starts in San Francisco and the Rangers drop the first two games losing by 7 and 9 runs receptively.  The announcers spewing their gushing comments about the Giants from the Fox broadcast booth.  It is a given fact that when your team is losing on national television during a series you loathe the announcers.  Every thing they say about the other team seems so positive and fantastic, while any comment about your team (good or bad) seems misinformed and stupid.  After all you have spent 162 games with your guys, your local broadcasters.  These guys have it right, these guys have been there with you to see the clutch hits, the great defense, and they know who not to send out to pinch hit in the 9th.  They Know, just as you Know.  Now here you are with your team in the penultimate moment of the season listening to some national hack mispronounce names and rehash moments incorrectly from a season in which you saw every play, and he is reading from a highlight sheet.  Its a stomach churner that makes you want to push the TV over Travis Bickle style.

The Rangers go on to lose the 2010 World Series.  The Giants prevail 4 games to 1 to take the title and their first win since moving to San Francisco in 1954.  Now its one year later, and as a Rangers fan you have made it back.  Your team took down the surging Tampa Bay Rays and the dangerous Detroit Tigers to make it back to the big dance.  Unfortunately the Fox World Series broadcast rights deal has not expired and once again you will have to suffer with what Fox gives you.  Adding insult to injury, is that it is the same bumbling fools that you had grown to despise while watching your team get shellacked last year.  The sense of hatred you have for these two, so called men, can be physically seen in the froth gathering at the corners of your mouth as these idiots read the witty pre-game banter off the teleprompter.  Yet here they are again.  The same two guys.  Mr. Joe Buck and Mr. Tim McCarver.

That’s right the St. Louis Cardinals are playing your Texas Rangers for the 2011 World Series and you get these two again. Now sit back and listen as the play by play guy who was born and raised in St. Louis calls the game.  So what if he attended St. Louis Country Day School, big deal.  So what if his father called games for the Cardinals for like 100 years.  Ok, so Joe himself was the play by play announcer for the Cards after his dad for 16 years.  None of this means a thing, I am sure he can be objective.  He is a pro.  Besides there is always the other guy in the booth to balance things off right.  The networks are good about doing that at least.  Whoops!  Ok, this does not look so good.  Tim McCarver was a 11 year player and All Star catcher for the St. Louis Cardinals?  I feel for you Rangers fans.  I can only shutter to think of Mookie Wilson and Ron Darling stepping up to the broadcast booth for the 2012 Red Sox vs. Mets rematch series.  If by chance the Rangers should lose tonight, game seven happens, and the Cards pull it out in the 9th with Joe Buck chiming out with a big grin; “the St. Louis Cardinals are World Champions”, there are only two questions that remain:  1. Who is the largest provider of TV’s if Texas? 2.  Are they a public company?

News & Notes

- Tony LaRussa is taking some major heat for the bullpen error thing.  I guess from a far it doesn’t’ look like a big deal but in reality, its a bigger deal then leaving in Pedro to long.  That’s a pretty bad “mix-up”.  I think Tony is on the sauce again, lets just hope he is not driving.

- So my bet from yesterday on the canceled Game 6 of Over 7.5 runs was given “No Action” and all monies returned.  Interesting to note that the pitchers are the same and the Over/Under moved from 7.5 to just 7?  Was it the weather?

- After my (not so ringing) endorsement of this season of Survivor yesterday, I watched the epsiode from last night and I have to say; the move by Ozzy will result in my kids new favorite phrase, “Epic Fail”.  But props on a good episode.

- This is now officially Bet Number 200 on this site.  All in print, all history kept, and all bets made and posted before game time. If I win both I am above the Mendoza line.

Bets of the Night

Texas Rangers Vs. St. Louis Cardinals Over 7 Total Runs Scored  Bet $125 to win $100

I have to admit that I am on the fence as to who will win this game.  Waffling enough to lay off betting the winner.  I do think that the bats will be on for this one.  I am also sticking with my theory that once a pitcher gets seen a 2nd time in a series its the hitters advantage.  Also we are not dealing with Cy Young candidates on the mound tonight either.

Player To Record The Most Total Bases (Single =1, Double =2, Triple =3, HR =4, All Else = 0) Adrian Beltre Over Albert Pujols  Bet $100 to win $100

This is a sheer math equation bet.  How often will player A get more hits than player B when player A gets less total at bats?  I think big Albert gets walked between 1-3 times in this game.  Therefore with walks not counting toward the total bases (it must be a hit), Albert just simply has less chances than Adrian.  Go Math!  Go Beltre!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  89-81-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.44%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 18-13-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 69.56%

Kitty Total = $1,017.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($124.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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What a Gronk!

Posted on October 26, 2011
Gronk Pic

Tamer Version

Game 6 of the World Series has been postponed due to the weather.  More accurate would be to say that moving Game 6 and Game 7 to Thursday and Friday respectively will not conflict with any NFL games or other sporting events that would overshadow baseball’s finale.  If this was a Friday game MLB would try to get it in.

So for me, I placed a bet early this morning on Over 7.5 Runs with Garcia and Lewis the scheduled pitchers. I am not sure if this bets stands if the pitchers end up changing.  The bet (which is bet number 200 of this experiment) was an even money bet (bet $100 to win $100). I will post it tomorrow if the bet stands and may add a proposition bet as well.

News & Notes

- The Gronkowski picture scandal is a big nothing, he can barely keep a straight face when he was interviewed at his locker.  I am sure the guys on the practice field had the Polish jokes flying today.  It will also be nice to see the BiBi (love that spelling) Jones head cutouts that will be donned at the Steelers game.  Should be some good signs as well.  The biggest piece of info from this story is what a twitter whore Gronk is!

- The other World Series on my TiVo (wonder if this is where BiBi got the spelling idea) is the World Series of Poker. While I am sure if you follow poker the way I do then you already know the November 9 (the final 9 players left).  It has always been a little maddening to have this event take place in July over 8 days, and then have it spoon fed to us over months in the form of 2 one hour installments every Tuesday night on ESPN.  But the quality of the broadcast are good, and you don’t sit through wasted boring hands.  This will not be the case when the new format comes this November 7th. I have to say it will be long and interesting and I will watch and may even provide live updates here.  Check out the new format.  I am a fan of the way the irishman O’Dea, and Giannetti, handle themselves at the table.  I am not a fan of Lamb, Bounahra, or Heinz who play the roles of overconfident jerk, buffoon, and creepy German guy respectively.  This event is ripe for betting, but be warned that skill can only take you so far and luck is no doubt the tenth player at the table. Here is an early look at the Odds to Win The WSOP, with respective chip count, and table position.

Martin Staszko +350  40,175,000  Seat 9

Eoghan ODea +400  33,925,000  Seat 3

Ben Lamb +500  20,875,000  Seat 8

Phil Collins +600  23,875,000  Seat 4

Matt Giannetti +600  24,750,000  Seat 1

Pius Heinz +1000  16,425,000 Seat 7

Badih Bou Nahra +1200  19,700,000  Seat 2

Anton Makievskyi +1200  13,825,000  Seat 5

Samual Holden +1800  12,375,000  Seat 6

- Other shows to watch/TiVo = 1.Survivor.  Not a good season or cast, but an addict is an addict. 2. I Shouldn’t be Alive. Most are well done reenactments of some pretty crazy situations, but some episodes you get the feeling they have stretched the truth as to how much danger they were really in.  One time a guy rolled over his ATV and was trapped overnight about 100 yards from a house with people in it, “Then the wolves could be heard in the distance”….please.

- Thanks for checking in again, please forward a link to any like minded friends that may enjoy.  Facebook and Twitter still coming.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  89-81-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.44%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 18-13-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 69.56%

Kitty Total = $1,017.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($124.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


3 Responses

  1. Jack:

    In regards to the Gronkowski picture with the hot girl, even if he shouldn’t have done it, I don’t know why people would mock him with “Polish jokes”. So called “Polish jokes” came from Nazi propaganda and were introduced into the US by NBC-TV and Hollywood. If an Italian guy, Black guy or Jewish guy did something wrong, would it be OK if people make ethnic insult jokes about them?

    27.11.2011 07:29 Reply

  2. Ross:

    I was merely saying that I am sure his teammates will be making polish jokes, which I am sure they did. As for you second question the answer is yes…if its funny.

    27.11.2011 11:32 Reply

  3. Jack:

    Ross do you know of any Black, Jewish or Italian football players that have been mocked with ethnic slurs?

    28.11.2011 04:15 Reply

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Emerging From The Rabbit Hole

Posted on October 25, 2011
Climbing out of a betting hole

Seeing Light!

Two Hundred Twenty Three Days.  One Hundred Ninety Nine Bets.  One Hundred Fourteen Articles.  Those are the quantities logged sine March 17, 2011.  The Kitty started that day at $1,141.43.  I now stand at $1,017.22.  I am still in the hole.  But, I am a mere $124.21 from being even.  Now for the record, I did not go south of that starting number ($1,141.43) right out of the gate, in fact I had a high water mark of $1,803.93 at one point.  However, you would have to go back to April 22, 2011 for the last time I was at four digits.  I have made a last bet twice, where if I had lost I would have been busted down to zero.  The most infamous of these last ditch efforts was risking it all on the Bruins to win Game 7 and the Cup.  From that last bet, I have climbed slow and steady, posting a total win/push percentage of 53.44% for all my bets (every single one recorded on this site).  More importantly I have posted a mark of 69.56% on my Best Bet picks (which are double in size).  Most recently the NFL has helped.  I am 18-13-2 on NFL bets this year for a better than average 60.60%.

Tomorrow, Game 6 of the World Series will mark my 200th bet on Ross Vs. The Loss.  My average bet is around $135.00, so you can do the math on the total sum wagered.  Seems like a lot of money going back and forth over a decent span of time to just be almost even, but I have had a blast doing it.  I am I any good?  Not sure, could an average joe do the same or better, maybe, but its not easy.

News & Notes

- Nothing worth betting tonight, so I am taking a break before the big 200th bet party tomorrow.

- 4 more gone from my Drop Dead Pool, down to 61 left. Never take road teams in Drop Deads if possible.

- I won both prop bets on the Ravens/Jags game.  I pulled a little Nostradamus action on the Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 yards bet.  Here is what I said, with what actually happened in Yellow.

The Jags are getting beat up bad (0-0 game no team had had a first down), after a Ravens turnover (Ray Rice first fumble in over 500 carries) or some fluke play the Jags find themselves around the Baltimore 30 yard line (it was the 28), After two plays of no yards and facing 3rd and 10 (it was 3rd and 6, sorry), Ray Lewis is sent on the blitz and gets the sack (it was Suggs not Lewis).  Jacksonville desperate to get on the scoreboard (they were about to punt and Scobee convinced Coach Del Rio to let him try) attempts and makes a 49 yard field goal (it was 54). Its good!! (Made two more over 50′s as well, first time ever happened in History)!

- I also won the over 5 Sacks total bet by the early 3rd quarter. Ended up with 7.  And as predicted yesterday as well (although not bet on) the Rangers pulled out the game last night and head to St. Louis up 3 games to 2.

- I have 7 wins in my last 10 bets and 11 out of my last 17.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  89-81-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.44%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 18-13-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 69.56%

Kitty Total = $1,017.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($124.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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Tim Tebow…The Second Coming?

Posted on October 24, 2011
Tim Tebow

Flutie on Steroids

Mixed bag, in the NFL this week.  I won the Steelers/Cardinals Over 43 bet with ease, the total coming in at 52.  The sweat was over with 11:30 left in the 4th quarter which is always nice.  I lost the Dolphins -1 vs. the Broncos bet with a 52 yard field goal in OT.  The fish blew a 15 point lead at home in the last 3 minutes of the game.  Goodbye Mr. Sparano.  As for Tim Tebow you can listen to the God Squaders in the sports chat rooms who say he is the second coming, or you can listen to pundit guys like Boomer Esaison who say he will never make it as a long term NFL QB.  But what I would say is that the guy does have that winning drive, why does it have to be an all or nothing proposition.  He could be the best wildcat, change of pace, situational QB, in the history of the game.  Just find him a head on straight, great arm, pocket passer, buddy, who would not mind sharing the snaps, and together they could role to some rings and change the position of QB forever.

I was also just a tad off in my assessment of the Colts/Saints Under 48 bet.  I said the score would be like 28-0 Saints.  Well the Saints did dominate, and it was almost a shutout, but the Indy defense did not come to play at all getting pounded for a league high 67 points!  Lastly I won my Best Bet pick of the week.  The Panthers -2.5 vs Redskins Bet was a sweet and much needed 13 point victory.  The fact that it was for $200 was nice for the Kitty total as well.

So on the day I went 2-2 and made $85.  However the I also bet Game three of the World Series on Saturday night and took the Rangers to win risking $186. The Rangers got pounded in a slug fest.   So for the whole weekend I made 5 bets worth $721 went 2-3 and lost $101 total.

And then there is redemption night.  Monday night.  The temptation of course is to double up, bet hard, and finish the betting week a winner.  There are more hard luck Monday night bet stories than any other day thats for sure.  I am going to play it kind of safe and try to make the smart play.  Will Baltimore win this game?  Will they win by 10 or more on the road?  My gut says yes.  My head says stay away.  I have some other plays in mind.

Bets of the Night

Ravens vs. Jaguars Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 yards  Bet $110 to win $100

The Jags are getting beat up bad, after a Ravens turnover or some fluke play the Jags find themselves around the Baltimore 30 yard line.  After two plays of no yards and facing 3rd and 10, Ray Lewis is sent on the blitz and gets the sack.  Jacksonville desperate to get on the scoreboard attempts and makes a 49 yard field goal. Its good!!

Ravens vs. Jaguars Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 5  Bet $105 to win $100

The Jags are getting beat up bad, after a Ravens turnover or some fluke play the Jags find themselves around the Baltimore 30 yard line.  After two plays of no yards and facing 3rd and 10, Ray Lewis is sent on the blitz and gets the sack (sixth sack of the game).  Jacksonville desperate to get on the scoreboard attempts and makes a 47 yard field goal.

News & Notes

- Still alive in the Drop Dead Pool I am in.  408 gone 65 remain.  Most everyone had Dallas this week so most moved on.  4 people have Baltimore tonight so the upset may not be the worst thing in the world.

- Lost in head to head competition in Fantasy Football yesterday as well.  Had the third highest point total in the league but was matched up against the first highest.  Hate when that happens.  Brees got me 43 points alone.  I had three others with double digit points (Dez Bryant, Neil Rackers, Houston Defense).  So how did I lose?  The opponent had Peterson, Sproles, S. Jackson, and the points machine Mike Wallace.

- So there is also Game 5 of the World Series tonight and the Rangers are the favorite despite the Cardinals having Carpenter on the mound.  I think the second time through this line-up may prove more difficult for Chris.  I will watch with interest for future betting purposes, but I am staying away from this as far as betting some dough. If you had to make me chose I would say the Rangers pull it off and head back up to St. Louis up 3 games to 2.

- Thanks for tuning in and spread the word!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  87-81-4
Win/Push Percentage = 52.90%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 16-13-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 69.56%

Kitty Total = $817.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($324.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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Picks, Picks, And More Picks

Posted on October 21, 2011

Busy weekend up ahead so I have decided to make my NFL Picks in this Friday edition.  This is somewhat of a throwback to the old school Ross Vs. The Loss days of when my picks came to close friends via email only.  It was always on Friday and would be a summary of all the picks I was making for the weekend.  Some of these were NCAA plays and some were NFL, as well as some other sports sprinkled in if they were playing on the weekend.  I am fairly clueless on College football right now but I plan to get up to speed come bowl time.  The World Series (2-0 so far including last nights nail-biter Texas Rangers win), resumes with Game 3 in Texas on Saturday night.  I will probably  just post this bet on the comments below this article when the World Series gets closer to first pitch.  But for now its NFL Pick ‘EM Friday folks and I am laying $535 on the line to win $500  which is well over half my worth so here they are and lets hope for the best.

Bets of the Weekend

What's With The Shades?

Miami Dolphins -1 Vs. Denver Broncos  Bet $105 to win $100

Tebow Smebow!  Sure the Dolphins looked horrible this past week.  Sure Coach Tony looks like he been spending nights at the Bada! Bing! but what can you say.  I gotta fellin bout this one OK, you gotta problem with that…huh…do ya!  Miami is at home and they have incentive to make Tebow cry.  I think the fins get solid QB play this week and the defense chases down the running Gator boy just enough to pull this one out.  If I am wrong and the Dolphins lose its cement shoe time for Sparano.


Panthers -2.5 Vs. Washington Redskins  Bet $210 to win $200

There is always the temptation to bet against a team that blew a game for you in the previous week.  One could accuse me of that with this Best Bet of the week.  The Redskins blew chunks all over themselves last week losing to a reeling Eagles squad even after having the bye week to prepare.  New QB John Beck is a Miami retread for a few years back and the Offensive line suffered two key injuries.  Cam finally gets win number 2 after being close in every game and covering most as well.  The Panthers are home also.  No Doubt.

I Love Zona!!!

Pittsburgh Steelers Vs. Arizona Cardinals Over 43 points  Bet $110 to win $100

This point spread has trap game written all over it.  ”Wait the Steelers are only giving 4 points to Arizona, Wow what a”…. Not so fast.  First they are on the road in a non divisional, non conference game, that in the end will mean little.  It’s going to be Party Time for Ben and the rest of the boys in back and yellow.  The number of gentlemen’s clubs in Phoenix alone is cause for concern (or so I have heard) for any Steeler point spread layer.  The 4:05 start means plenty of recovery time from curfew breaking on Saturday night.  Steelers come out sloppy and give up some points.  They will probably pull it out and may even cover, but the sure bet is the Over.

Indianapolis Colts Vs. New Orleans Saints Under 48 points  Bet $110 to win $100

The Sunday night game.  Primetime Baby. Despite Indy having no Peyton, causing the offense to more than sputter, the defense has been solid, and the pass rush is there specialty.  Will they stop Brees, NO, will they win, NO, will it be like …28-0, Yes.  So I like the under.  Actually I think Painter has a cannon for an arm and three weeks experience can’t hurt the fellow Purdue alum who will have something to prove.  The team is behind the young kid as well.  But in the end enough D gets played on both ends even on the fast carpet in the Dome.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  85-78-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.29%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 14-11-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 15-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 68.18%

Kitty Total = $918.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($223.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


2 Responses

  1. Ross:

    Just bet the Rangers to win tonight $186 to win $100. Laying a lot of dough to win, but I think Texas breaks out in this one.

    22.10.2011 17:48 Reply

  2. Ross:

    Laying off Game 4 after that Game 3 beat down. Too Much NFL going today with 4 games and $535 on the line. Pujols is a monster. Talk about shutting up the critics! Texas is on the ropes…

    23.10.2011 08:34 Reply

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Red Sox Management…. Keep The Beer!

Posted on October 20, 2011

Waste Not Want Not

So as it turns out the Red Sox are just one of 12 teams in Major League Baseball that still provide beer to their players.  The obvious talk, in light of the now infamous September swoon, is should this practice continue.  The pressure will be felt in a big way for Red Sox Management (Hello Messrs. Lucchino and Henry) to make the banishment of any fermented beverages in the clubhouse job number one.  But lets face it, is this really the issue.  Does not a beer after a nice win (or during) make for a happy bunch.  So you knock back a few more on the plane…big deal.  It’s about the winning not the sinning. And this may be the sole problem here.  They did not win, they lost, and lost, and lost.  I blame the fried goodness of the fast food chicken joints before I would blame the beer.  I think the overreaction is almost comical and the best solution for Sox brass is to just confound everyone and take the opposite approach.  Expand the menu a little bit.  Treat these players like adults who can handle themselves and make the right choice at the right time.  Did not Kevin Millar do that when he went for the Jack Daniels and handed out shots in the series against the Yanks down 0-4.  How did that work out…championship, 86 year curse broken, thanks you!  So whats the harm.  Every player on the team has some back aliment or anxiety issue right?  So lets get the medical marijuana cards filled out and open up a clubhouse dispensary.  What’s the worst that can happen?  A few giggles, who cares.  Maybe Beckett would relax a little and not want to chew the head off of the umpire after every third pitch.  Do you think Carl Crawford would benefit?  This guy was wound as tight as BBBilly from Cuckoo’s Nest.  Just a few puffs in the clubhouse, maybe a really cool video game or two and he would be good to go.

For others weed might not do the trick.  Lackey for instance might get a little paranoid and think that everyone was out to get him.  I know, that sounds crazy right… but he might just think that.  Big John seems to be more of an LSD guy.  He needs to change his whole perception of reality, don’t you think.  After all Dock Ellis threw a no-hitter in 1970 while in the sky with diamonds.  Sure he walked 8 batters and beaned another, but he got the job done right.  I can see Lackey out there now, sweating profusely with his goofy gums and teeth jutting out as he mumbles to himself.  I think he may even get over 90 mph a few times.  I am sure he will be less focused on throwing his hands in the air to show up his teammates in the field.  He will most likely have other things on his mind.  For the midwest boys on the team I am sure one of the storage units the Sox use across the street could be converted to a meth lab, because as we have seen nothing beats home cooking.

I don’t know about you but wasn’t it a little boring to watch a sober Cardinals (one of the 18 teams that do not allow beer) methodically take out the superior hitting Rangers (beer guys) with stellar pitching and lighting defensive plays?  What a snooze fest.  One thing is for sure Lansdowne Street will never be the same again.  Will it be for the better or the worse?  I say worse.  Come on Henry bring on the narcotics and watch that money roll in so you can get that championship you crave… for Liverpool.

News & Notes

- I won last nights bet that the Cards would take game one.  That was like watching Bill Belichick vs. Pete Carroll.  LaRussa made all the right moves and Washington looked lost.  Not sure if that is a sign to come or if Ron will start his dugout running tonight.

- Setting up a Facebook page sucks.  Can they make this a little more difficult.  Still working on it.  Twitter to follow shortly and I have a sneaking suspicion that it will not be as hard to do.

- By the way Freese scored the winning run last night.

Bets of the Night

Texas Rangers To Win Vs. St. Louis Cardinals  Bet $118 to Win $100

Lewis powers his way past the first time through the line-up and goes heavy on the slider the 2nd time, while Garcia gets a taste of American League power even with a gimpy Hamilton.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  84-78-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.01%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 14-11-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 15-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 68.18%

Kitty Total = $818.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($423.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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Tomorrow’s Headline “Freese Out In St. Louis”

Posted on October 19, 2011

I have been battling an illness the past two days, but nothing can stop me from getting a bet in on tonights World Series. The St. Louis Cardinals take on the Texas Rangers in the Arch city, where temps are expected to be in the 40′s with mist and rain to boot. ESPN has 21 of 24 of their “experts” picking Texas to win the series, and while this very well may happen, lets take a look at game one first shall we. The Cards have New Hampshire boy Chris Carpenter on the mound. He has been pitching well and the cold should not bother him too much right? Then we have big Albert on the big stage with a big no contract situation looming over him and the owners. Then we have our predicted headline boy. David Freese is on fire in the postseason. He is batting .425 going 17 for 40 in 12 games with 5 Doubles 4 Home Runs and 14 RBI’s. His salary is $416,000…talk about playing for a contract. This is a future star in the making and he should be fun to watch and see if he can keep it going or not. NLCS MVP… now World Series MVP?

Getting sleepy again… time for some Dayquil (gotta stay up for the game)

Bet of The Night

St. Louis To Win Vs. Texas Rangers Bet $121 To Win $100

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  83-78-4
Win/Push Percentage = 52.72%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 14-11-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 15-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 68.18%

Kitty Total = $718.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($523.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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May the Schwartz Be With You.

Posted on October 17, 2011

You have come to the right place for what really took place in the Harbaugh handshake controversy.  This is a petty occurrence when you consider what probably took place on the field in all those NFL games yesterday.  Things that you never hear or see between players in the scrum that never get caught on camera.  If they were caught most cannot be shown on network TV. But this incident was caught on TV as are all coaches handshake moments.  Which, by the way, brings up the point of, why?  Why has the handshake moment become a staple of every broadcast and a must see?  I think it’s most fans secret desire to see exactly what we saw in this exchange yesterday or maybe even worse.  Have you not thought after your team loses and you head coach is heading out for the shake…”gosh it would be great if he just clocks that guy”.  This would be especially true if your team happens to have just lost to the Jets.

But what happened in this case was very simple.  Harbaugh has taken over a crap team in his rookie season that has been bottom feeding in the NFC for many years.  Now they are 4-1 and going on the road to face the one team in the NFC with an even better story, the undefeated Detroit Lions.  Their coach like Harbaugh is also a NFL rookie head coach.  So the Lions cannot hold onto the lead and end up losing to the 49ers by six.  Harbaugh is jumping around like an idiot, slapping the backs of his own players and yelling.  He even at one point pulls up his shirt out of his pants because it was apparently impeding his effort in performing girlish jumps and kicks.  He then sees the other coach and jumps in for the shake.  He gets the hand shake with the right hand and with the left slaps the back of  Coach Schwartz.  There is not doubt that this slap and almost push/shove past move that Harbaugh did was a product of a little FU message he was sending.  If that hand shake, slap, yelp motion could be put into words it would be saying “yea I kicked your ass”.  This is how Schwartz felt at that moment and I think his words to Harbaugh as he started to run off were to the effect of “have some class jerk” to which Harbaugh says (out of the right side of his mouth and away from camera view) “Fuck you”.  This is the obscenity that Schwartz mentions in the press conference moments after the game that Harbaugh had said to him.  This then infuriated Schwartz who had just lost, been slapped around, pushed, and swore at.  Well, that was enough for him and he began to chase Harbaugh.  This leads to the real girly part of the clip.  That is the now patented run along side while attempting a lame chest bump maneuver all while barely looking the man in the eye routine.  But we all have done that before right?

I love it.  I love the passion.  These guys work their butts off all week long to prepare for a team.  They plan and scheme and re-scheme.  They study film, and sleep in offices, and stress, and eat crappy.  Then it comes to Sunday and they see their team lay it all out there, and do what they ask of them, and either experience tremendous joy or wrench gut failure, sometimes going from one to the other in split seconds.  I would be one of those fiery emotional guys if I ever were able to be the head coach of an NFL team.  Hell, I would be that way coaching my sons or daughters teams (which is why I have not done to much of that, as F-bomb’s and coach shoving is generally frowned upon in local kids town sports).  For these guys…I understand it, I like it, I want to see more of it from coaches and managers.  I want to see Tony LaRussa of the Cardinals in a slug fest with Ron Washington of the Rangers over the course of this upcoming seven game world series.  How about some NHL coaches dropping gloves.  Doc Rivers and Rick Carlisle would be a good one.  Remember when Don Zimmer charged Pedro Martinez….ah now that was something else.  Keep this stuff coming.  This type of thing means passion, and caring, and emotion.  This is sports.  If this stops then the money has taken over.

News & Notes

- I went 1-2 yesterday in the NFL not good.  Need to turn it around tonight.  Very disappointing  to lose those first two bets.  The Redskins were getting 3 points at home and coming off a buy week against a struggling Eagles team.  I would lay it on Shanahan as bad coaching to blow that one but for Rex Grossman to throw 4 of the worst picks I have ever seen was the capper.  And to think after that horrible performance and losing the turnover battle by 4 I only missed buy 4 points and had a chance at the end of the game.  The other game I took the Saints to win by 6.5 points.  They lost outright but also had 4 turnovers (3 picks, 1 fumble) and lost the coach in the first half with a MCL and broken leg…thats right I lost the coach!  I was right on with a point fest in the night cap game beating the 42 over/under by a comfortable 7 point margin.

- The MLB World Series starts this Wednesday in St. Louis (thank you Bud and your All-Star winner rule).  The odds men have the Rangers as the favorite (bet $165 to win $100 if you like the Rangers / bet $100 to win $145 if you like the Cards).  I think this will be an entertaining series.  Kind of a classic NL vs. AL matchup.  Good pitching and defense of the NL Cards versus the OK pitching and bash ball lineup of the AL Rangers.  I am not a fan of betting whole series outcomes and tying up money for over two weeks but I think I like the Cards a bit more in the upset, but game to game and starter to starter make a difference when it comes to betting so I will take it game by game.

- Devin Hester is the best return man I have ever seen or ever will.  He got his 17th career TD return.  What was interesting is that he is tied for 2nd all time with Rod Woodson and ahead of him with 19 is only the great Deion Sanders.  But both of those guys were defensive backs and their interception returns were counted in those numbers (the both have about half from picks).  Hester’s are 4 kick-offs, 12 punts, and one returned missed field goal!  The best no doubt….ever.

Bets of The Night

New York Jets -7 Vs. Miami Dolphins Bet $130 To Win $100

The spread was 7.5 which I hate so I bought the number down to 7 so that is why it’s bet $130 to win $100 instead of the normal $110 to win $100.  Not a Jets fan but I think they handle this game with ease.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  82-78-4
Win/Push Percentage = 52.83%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 13-11-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 4-5

Best Bets = 15-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 68.18%

Kitty Total = $618.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  - ($523.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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