When I Paint My Masterpiece

Posted on November 28, 2011

Matter of TimeAfter watching just about every minute possible of NFL football this week, including every touchdown (thank you NFL Red Zone), there is one question to be answered.  Who will the other opponent be in the Super Bowl at the end of this season?  The obvious answer would be the Green Bay Packers.  Last year’s winner, undefeated and rolling right along with the hottest quarterback of the last season and a half.  Could the Giants strike lighting in a bottle like 2008 and win enough playoff games on the road as the wild card team?  Maybe the Saints get back to the big show for the second time in three years?  How about the surging 49er’s making a long awaited return trip under the first year exuberance of coach Jim Harbaugh?  Any of these teams would be a more than interesting match.  I say that not because of some TV generated storyline of old roommates facing each other or a coach who once worked under the other coach.  No, the interest comes from seeing what ridiculously calculated and masterful strategy that Mr. William Stephen Belichick decides to display this February the 5th, 2012.

The New England Patriots will be inside Lucas Oil Stadium to face whoever the NFC produces.  They will be confident, prepared, and ready to win the Lombardi Trophy for 4th time in ten years.  I may sound like a homer and that is a fair criticism, after all I was born and raised in New England and I am a Patriots fan.  Every reporter, broadcaster, announcer, out there has a home town team.  Some display it, and others falsely claim they have no bias whatsoever.  I am being upfront and honest when I say that if Bill Belichick coached the Jets I would still claim him to be the best football coach in the history of the game because it is just fact.  He game plans like no other ever has.  Active coaches can’t say it now, but in 5 years or so we will hear guys like Andy Reid say that Belichick was in another league when it came to finding a winning formula for each individual opponent.  Belichick takes players and makes talent, not the other way around like most coaches strive to do.

This will not be the first time he wins a Super Bowl in which his defense is made up of cast off five and dimers.  In 2004 (where are you now, wide receiver )Freddie Mitchell of the Philadelphia Eagles said he didn’t even know the names of the Patriots defensive backs.  The “No Name” defense with the likes of Earthwind Moreland, Hank Poteat, Dexter Reid, and JeRod Cherry made Philly look silly on the way to the title. Does this sound familiar to this years cast of characters on the Patriots defense?  On the recent Sunday night game the telecast did not even have time to film two players saying what college they went to because they were signed days earlier.  Also, on that 2004 team was Troy Brown , a full time wide receiver that moonlighted as a corner back when Bill needed him, hello Julian Edelman 2012.   Bill is doing it again and the rest of their weak schedule will serve as even more training time for this defense to become sharp and potent like the offense already is, and has been for years.  So who will it be?  Who will Bill take to the woodshed in Indianapolis?  In the end the opponent does not matter, it will only determine the route, not the outcome.

Bet of the Night

Giants Vs. Saints Yes there will be a field goal over 45.5 yards  Bet $115 to win $100

More 50 plus yarders made this year than any other season in NFL history.  That, and the fact they are in the Super-dome.

News & Notes

- Sorry for the late entry, I know you can’t wait for these picks!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  103-112-4
Win/Push Percentage = 48.85%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 25-34-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 6-8

Best Bets = 16-13
Best Best Win Percentage = 55.17%

Kitty Total = $143.92

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($1,997.51)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-26

Money Invested = $710.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


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Happy Football Day!

Posted on November 23, 2011

Football and TurkeyNo other sport has a stranglehold on a holiday like the National Football League has on Thanksgiving.  Of course, the tradition of football on Thanksgiving started long before television cameras were there to cover it.  The oldest public high school Thanksgiving game dates back to 1882 (Wellesley vs. Needham Massachusetts), and while I was not around to catch it, I can safely say I would have bet the under, only to watch in horror as a play called the “forward pass” was introduced leading to a last minute touchdown and another loss.  I am sure there are plenty of households across the country that do not have the TV on starting at 12:30pm, but I did not grow up in one.  NFL football and Thanksgiving day were like peanut butter and jelly in my house, like soup and crackers, like leftover turkey sandwiches with cranberry sauce on Friday.

Years ago these games held the casual fans interest as background noise, occasionally checking in to see if the horrible Lions could maybe make a game out of it against whoever their fortunate opponent was.  And once the Dallas game came around you were hard pressed to even make halftime before the belt came undone and the turkey slumber began.  Then came fantasy football.  All of a sudden the cousins and uncles started to check in a little more and even huddle around the set.  What were once abundant chairs in the den were now coveted spots with paper plates of dessert balancing under hand.  Banter back and forth of who has what player, or who was not started and should have been, began to happen.  Bonding through NFL Thanksgiving football, who would have thought?  The talk and chatter is not solely due to fantasy football.  There was always the uncle that would seem a little too into the game.  Flinching and wincing at big plays, which would always lead to the inevitable question from someone in the room, “who do you have”.  I remember this moment happening for me as a little tike sitting indian style down in front.  Once I found out the Uncle Joe had a “sawbuck” on the game (I had no idea what that was or how much it represented), I was riveted.  Now this seemingly useless game was very exciting to watch.  I now had a side, I had a new feeling as I watched and missed my mouth with my eclair, eyes focused on 3rd and ten.  I got the itch on that day and I am still scratching.

Bets of the Thanksgiving Day

Lions +6.5 Vs. Packers  Bet $75 to win $68.18

With only $295 left to work with this gobble day, and wanting to have action on all three games I had to base my amount to wager on these games on how much I like each match-up.  This is my least favorite of the three.  The Pack is rolling right along and scoring points in bunches.  The Lions defense has a great pass rush but not a good secondary.  They can give up the big play as well.  But for the first time in a while we have the Lions playing at home on this big stage with a winning record and a good offense.  The Pack defense has given up decent points to worse teams than this one.  I have to go with the fire that the Lions will come out with and take the points.  I think it will be a shoot out, and the Lions make a play to keep it close.

Jason Garrett Thanksgiving Day Game

Solid Coach or Turkey?

Cowboys -7 Vs. Dolphins  Bet $110 to win $100

Of the three I like this one the best.  The fact that Miami just jacked up the Bills and are playing fairly well is the best thing for the Cowboys.  Jason Garrett is a good coach and will not let his team take these guys lightly.  I think the Cowboys come out banging and Matt Moore will see a ton of pressure in the pocket.  Miami and Sparano will throw the kitchen sink at this game with a few tricks for sure.  Miami has killed me this year but in this game Dallas cruises and bruises to a cover.  Best Bet.

Harbaugh Brothers Thanksgiving

Family Time

Ravens -3 Vs. 49er’s  Bet $110 to win $91.67

The 49er’s are another team that has killed me this year.  I just kept thinking that Jim Harbaugh was smoke and mirrors.  A rah rah joke type of coach who would get his ass handed to him by a better coach.  That has proved not to be the case….I think.  Now we have the Brother on Brother match-up to round out the night (tremendous job NFL scheduler guy).  This game is basically a pick ‘em game with the home field advantage 3 points nod going to the Ravens.  I think Big Bro takes Baby Bro out to the woodshed in this tight battle.  The Niners defense is good but not Ravens good.  I also think that Joe Flack answers the critics and has a good game, while Alex Smith makes the big mistake his coach has tried so hard to protect him from this whole season.  A special day for the parents of these boys and I am sure we will see our fair share of crowd shots of Mom and Dad.

News & Notes

- Every dime is on the line tomorrow (once again).

- Need a Running back for your fantasy team, you may want to take a sleeper run on Shane Vereen of the Patriots for a fantasy playoff boost.

- Happy Thanksgiving to all the faithful readers, feel free to tell your Uncle Joe about me.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  100-108-4
Win/Push Percentage = 49.05%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 23-30-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 6-8

Best Bets = 16-13
Best Best Win Percentage = 55.17%

Kitty Total = $295.00

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($1,846.43)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-26

Money Invested = $710.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


One Response

  1. Ross:

    Just put out two picks on Twitter and Facebook for todays 1:00 and 4:00 including Tebow game.

    27.11.2011 11:55 Reply

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Dark Days Looming

Posted on November 21, 2011
Bobby Valentine

Hey Fans!

Car racing at its highest level takes significant resources.  Just ask John Henry.  Hedge fund wizard, and majority owner of the Boston Red Sox, Liverpool Football club, and Roush Fenway Racing.  One product from his racing barn, Carl Edwards just lost the Sprint Chase Cup in a bizarre tie-breaker situation after Tony Stewart won the final race of the series.  To be so close and see it slip away is never fun, and Henry is not the type to accept losing.  He came to Fenway and got two championships after all.  But since that time the other ventures mentioned above have come into play.  Despite claims that this multi-level platform of sports ownership has not, and will not, affect any of the decisions regarding the ole town team from Boston, it seems a bit disingenuous.  Red Sox nation should begin to prepare itself for some lean years.  Maybe some lean decades.  Henry’s number one guy when it comes to the Red Sox operation has always been Larry Lucchino.  Larry has always had the power to do what Larry wanted for the most part.  Now Larry finally got his wish to let Theo Epstein go (never a warm fuzzy between those two) and have a general manger in place in which he can really pull the puppet strings.  The new GM, Ben Cherington, clearly wanted Dale Sveum as the next manger of the Boston Red Sox.  However, the strings tugged and Lucchino and Henry have decided that the post game show on NESN (which Henry owns) will be much more exciting to have a personality in front of the brick wall and not a snoozer like Sveum.  Guys like Sveum are meant more for teams who think field management first and ratings and money second, which is why Theo and the Cubs made the move to secure the impressive candidate.  Henry needs his cash cow to continue to generate buzz, and be on the front page, and the lead topic on sports radio.  That need was evidenced last year when ratings were dropping, the Red Sox responded with free agent signings that were designed to make splashes, not a better team.  Now with the team coming off one of the worst season ending collapse’s in history, complete with stories of beer and chicken, and disarray, they need to do something to drastic.  Meet the new Manager of the Boston Red Sox, Bobby Valentine.

If this happens, and it appears a good bet, it will be the worst move possible.  Valentine is a clown.  Just ask any fan of the Mets.  He single-handily took down the 2002 New York team with a collapse similar to the one just experienced in Boston.  Instead of keeping the clubhouse together, he divided it.  He called out players in a ugly fashion and lost it in the clubhouse.  The thought that he will kick ass and take names, and that is what the Red Sox need right now only works if you have the players respect.  He will not get it.  After his failure with the Mets he became the american funny jester of the Japan leagues for six years.  Once sick of noodles and managing midgets, he came back to the states and started his broadcasting stint at ESPN.  In this format one can really see the lack of depth in his baseball mind.  Saber-metrics be dammed, this guy is a hunch guy, a feel guy, also known as a old school baseball idiot, with an ego well overstated based on his flimsy resume.  This circus will be fun for talk show hosts and columnist for sure.  This will not be fun for the fans of this beloved team who buy tickets.  The aging pitching staff, old veteran players, and depleted minor league system will not be served well by a dolt running things for two years or so.  This will set the team back for years to come and fans will be left watching the Yankees, Blue Jays, Rays, and Orioles (new VP Dan Duquette) take over the American League.  The most excited person in this whole saga that is about to ensue will be the newspaper editors, who get to take a vacation from thinking as the headlines will write themselves.  Here is a listing of future headlines in order of appearance.

Be Your Valentine (announced as manager)

Valentines Day! (first day of spring training)

Not So Sweet (first sweep by the Yankees)

Bloody Valentine (first clubhouse fisticuffs)

Valentines Day Massacre (Sox eliminated from playoff race)

I for one am not a secret admirer of this Valentine.   But I know that the Red Sox machine is.  They are just starting to rev their engines with the possibilities of selling thousands of Red Sox pink hats with hearts on them, and the Bobby-head doll night. Think of all that added revenue!  No 2nd place for Mr. Edwards next year. Checkered flags all the way.

Bet of the Night

Chad Ochocinco will have Over 1.5 receptions Vs. Chiefs  Bet $180 to win $100

He has been slowly (very slowly) coming along this season, with the last game being his best.  I think that Bill really wants him to do well and almost needs him to pick up his play so as not to have another free agent failure to add to the growing list.  I think he gets thrown to 4-5 times and he will catch at least two.

News & Notes

- I almost can’t help but laugh when I write the reason for my bet as I just did above.  I have been soooo…wrong soooo…many times lately its a joke.

- Worst cup clinching play by play ever for this recent Presidents Cup.  I am not sure the guys in the towers even knew it right away.  Tiger wins the hole and oh yea they won the cup?

- If the Shogun Vs. Henderson fight this Saturday was the national fight on FOX, the sport would have exploded!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  100-107-4
Win/Push Percentage = 49.28%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 23-29-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 6-7

Best Bets = 16-13
Best Best Win Percentage = 55.17%

Kitty Total = $475.00

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($1,666.43)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-26

Money Invested = $710.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


2 Responses

  1. kevins:

    Did Ochocinco play last night? I don’t think I heard his name once!

    22.11.2011 09:43 Reply

  2. Ross:

    Tweet from Last night: Ochocinco on the field for maybe three plays total! I love the helmet off shot on TV with 3 min left. Crazy bad bet!

    22.11.2011 10:27 Reply

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Ross Vs. The Curse

Posted on November 19, 2011
Ross Vs. The Curse

Don't let me bet on you!

As I wrote on Twitter last night, quite a run to go from $1,100 to zero in 8 days.  I put money into my account to replenish the Kitty for the first time.  With my new funds I put them to work right away.  I took Tiger and Dustin Johnson over the clearly overmatched unknowns in K.T. Kim and Y.E. Yang.  These two had not won a match all week and Tiger and DJ were just coming off their first win from the morning round of Alternate Shot.  Of course I doomed the american duo by wagering $200 to win $100 on them and they went onto lose on the 18th hole after about 17 lip out putts by Tiger.  The Curse of Ross continues.  Today I have decided to curse two NFL teams, two American golfers, and one UFC fighter.  I am not holding back as I have all but $70 in play over this weekend.  This streak can’t last forever right?

Bets of the Weekend

Mauricio “Shogun” Rua to defeat Dan Henderson UFC 139  Bet $140 to win $100

Coming off of the big fight on Fox Tv Dana White wanted to have another PPV event to try to cash in on the possible newfound fans.  Although these guys are big names to MMA fans the regular Joe has no idea that its actually a not so great main event.  Shogun has had is share of ups and down since joining the UFC.  He last fight was a big win over Forest Griffin, after losing the belt to the amazing Jon Jones.  Henderson is coming off beating up the most infamous fighter to never have fought in the UFC , Fedor Emelianenko.  And while that may seem like a big deal, Fedor is not what he once was.  Henderson’s cauliflower ears are a sign of having been in this game too long.  His brain concusses with a stiff breeze.  That breeze will be Shogun’s right hand.

Hunter Mahan to defeat Jason Day Presidents Cup Singles Match  Bet $105 to win $100

These two dropped back to back putts on each other last night and both over celebrated their moments in each other faces.  This will be a spirited match with Mahan looking to revenge his chipping choke in the Ryder Cup from last year.  Day looks as if the putter is getting away from him, a little and he is not sticking every shot like he has been all year leading up to this event.  Different things can happen once they are one on one though, but I still like Mahan to Mahan up.

Matt Kuchar to defeat Retief Goosen Presidents Cup Singles Match  Bet $145 to win $100

Here we have one of the hottest players of the year and of this Cup, taking on a fading player with putting issues.  Seems like a no brainer to me (Although I think I may actually have no brain lately).  Kuchar has appeared to love this team format and will have to take the smile to the solo arena today/tonight (coverage 6:30pm Golf Channel).

Bills +1.5 vs. Dolphins  Bet $220 to win $200

Decided to take a different approach when it comes to the NFL.  I took a list of all the games for this weekend with no spreads on it and one by one wrote down what I thought the spread should be.  I was either dead on or off by 1 or 2 points on all but 2 games.  This is one of them.  I thought this spread would be the Bills giving 3 points despite being on the road, instead they are getting 1.5 points and its the Dolphins.  Best Bet

Raiders -1 vs. Vikings  Bet $220 to win $200

By taking the approach I mentioned above , I had this game as Oakland giving 6 points.  Palmer seems to be gelling a bit more with the team.  The Vikings are crumbling. Their coach is losing credibility with the team and the community.  This team is not built to come from behind either, so if Oakland gets off to a good start, its over and 1 point is a steal. Best Bet

News & Notes

- Within five minutes of betting Tiger and DJ for the afternoon session they lost the first hole to the Koreans and never lead the rest of the day.

- I will most likely tweet a Sunday night bet on the Eagles/Giants game.

- With so much money tied up in bets I am only betting one UFC fight, but off the record I like: Bowles, Le, Kampmann, and Kingsbury to defeat Faber, Silva, Story,and Bonnar respectfully.

- Dropped below 50% win/push percentage for the first time ever.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  98-103-4
Win/Push Percentage = 49.75%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 22-26-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 6-7

Best Bets = 16-11
Best Best Win Percentage = 59.25%

Kitty Total = $950.00

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($1,191.43.)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-25

Money Invested = $660.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


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Mission Critical

Posted on November 18, 2011
Adam Scott Fist Pump

Scott Fist Pump Needed!

I am not in good shape.  The Jets blew chunks all over Invesco Field last night, pleasing my inner sole while crippling my Kitty total.  I tweeted a bet on the Presidents cup that saved my night.  I took Ogilvy and Choi over Haas and Watney and they won 1UP (Bet $60 to Win $48).  That leaves me with a total of $110.22 in the Kitty and $50 pending on the Toms bet to be the American with the most points overall.  That bet took a hit yesterday with Mahan and Toms losing to Goosen and Schwartzel 2 and 1.  So I have the option of holding onto those last dollars and betting it on one or two NFL games this weekend or I can try to increase the Kitty before Sunday and take another Presidents Cup Match-up bet.  I decided to take a shot on the Presidents Cup first and let the remaining balance ride on one selection.  Win or lose I will be picking NFL games tomorrow instead of the promised Friday picks as usual.  If I do lose this last ditch bet (I can’t believe I am at this point so quickly after winning the 10-1 odds Poker bet for $1000…I suck) then I will replenish the Kitty for the first time ever since putting in $300 on September 1, 2010.

Bet of the Night

Adam Scott & K.J. Choi to defeat Tiger Woods & Dustin Johnson in Foursomes  Bet $110.22 to win $81.64

My instincts are about as bad as you can get when it comes to picking a winner these days.  My confidence is shaken to the core and every time I think I am going to turn it around…I don’t.  I sink further into doubt.  Sound familiar?  Tiger just does not have it.  I keep thinking today is the day and it seems to never come.  I think his playing partner is not a good match for alternate shot at all, as they can both spray it around sometimes.  On the other side I think Scott and Choi, and Williams (head games with Tiger) for that matter, are playing well and consistent.  The home crowd for Scott does not hurt either.

News & Notes

- This event is just about to start so check out the progress online.

- Got spanked in live Poker never cashing in any game, bad beats and bad play abound.

- Stay tuned for a second Golf bet later today/tonight (if I win this one) as they play Fourball matches later tonight as well.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  98-101-4
Win/Push Percentage = 50.24%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 22-26-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 6-7

Best Bets = 16-11
Best Best Win Percentage = 59.25%

Kitty Total = $160.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($981.21)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-25

Money Invested = $660.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


One Response

  1. Ross:

    Making Bets on Twitter Tonight, Re-uped as well

    18.11.2011 21:18 Reply

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Tim Tebow May Be The Devil?

Posted on November 17, 2011
Tebow is the Devil

For God so loved the world he gave us Tim Tebow?

I hate the Jets.  This fact is well establish in the article below (Rex Ryan…Tool).  Nothing would satisfy me more as a Jets hater than to see them choke tonight.  To watch Rex Ryan’s face as Denver trots off the field with the same record as the J-E-T-S, Jets, Jest, Jets, would be priceless.  The only problem with this scenario is that it seems almost impossible.  Can the Jets stop the run?  If the answer is yes, then Denver gets crushed.  Tim Tebow cannot throw the ball over 10 times and expect to win this game.  Last game he threw 8 passes total!  As a betting man I cannot let my Jets hatred get in the way.  When I saw the spread was under a touchdown, I had to take the Jets.  If Tebow runs rampant over the Jets for over 100 yards, throws for one score, and the Denver defense holds sucky Sanchez and the running game down, then so be it.  I deserve to lose.  But it ain’t gonna happen folks.

Bet of the Night

Jets -6.5 vs. Broncos  Bet $220 to win $200

Best bettin this one.  For how much I despise our toe sucking friend, I will say he get the troops fired up when he has to. Look for the them to come out firing on both sides of the ball.  There may even be a little Joe McKnight to the house on special teams action tonight as well.  The negatives in this one are clear.  Short week for the Jets, banged up, on the road, in altitude, yadda, yadda, yadda.  I still think that 6.5 points is stealing.  The fraud ends tonight, Tebow fumbles a few, INT’s a few, and this thing is history.  Denver will start to wonder about the future of the QB position once again.

Pending Long Odds Bet

David Toms to be the Top American Points Scorer in the Presidents Cup.  Bet $50 to win $600

(Placed Nov 14th) With so many young guys and first timers on the U.S. team, Freddie Couples will be likely to pair Toms a lot.  This will give him more chances for points.  I also think he will get a day with Tiger who may respond to the team aspect of this event as just what the doctor ordered.  Toms is super steady and this course in Australia is a classic design and not crazy long.

News & Notes

- I got so slaughtered with my Presidents Cup matchup bets.  Tiger and Stricker got demolished by the Ross curse, and my other bet (Els/Ishikawa) was a typical tease.  Get 2UP early and then blow it the rest of the way.

- Longshot bet Toms, looked like one of the sharper players on the day and got a full point so that saved the evening (kind of).  He will stick with Mahan tonight (5:30pm coverage on the Golf Channel due to weather concerns) as a partner for the Friday Four ball format and will be against Goosen and Schwartzel, with neither one of them having played well yesterday.  Good chance for another point for Toms.

- Tomorrow will be Week 11 NFL picks, so tune in for those.  I may even have some money to bet with?

- Sorry for the short article, but I am playing Poker tonight and I need to practice.  I may need to refresh the Kitty soon, a win or two tonight could help.

- Match-up bets are not available yet for the Presidents Cup tonight, I may tweet a bet once they are posted.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  97-100-4
Win/Push Percentage = 50.24%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 22-25-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 6-7

Best Bets = 16-10
Best Best Win Percentage = 61.53%

Kitty Total = $332.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($809.21)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-25

Money Invested = $660.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


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Down Under & Dirty

Posted on November 16, 2011
Tiger Woods Vs. Steve Williams

Awkward!

You were in each others weddings.   You were friends and partners for thirteen years.  Now you face each other as bitter rivals on a world stage for all to see.  Tiger Woods and Steve Williams.  Golf’s greatest player ever and his former caddie who helped him get there, will meet and compete against each other in the first round of the Presidents Cup tonight.  Williams now on the bag for Adam Scott will partner with K.J. Choi in an alternate shot format (Foursomes) against Tiger and Steve Stricker.  Ever since Tiger let Williams go a few months back it has been nothing but a steady stream of comments from good old Stevie.  Everything from taking credit for Tigers successes, to saying his first loop with Adam Scott (who won at Bridgestone) was”the best win of my life”.  Then, just the other week at the Caddie Awards in Shanghai, Williams received the award for best caddie celebration for that same Bridgestone win, he came up to accept, and said into the microphone that “it was my aim to shove it right up that black ass”!  In typical Tiger fashion he said nothing in response to the media, but a “friend” reported that Tiger had said “keep him away from me”.  Just the other day Williams was stirring the pot again about Tiger’s infidelity saying “I thought I knew him, but obviously I did not”.  Clearly denying knowledge of Tiger’s actions over the past two years which seems hard to fathom knowing how much time they spent with each other.

It is no surprise that Scott has stuck with Williams despite the controversy and the giant sized ego from what is typically considered a profession where you just shut up and carry the bag.  The reason for the loyalty is that fact that Scott has blossomed since pairing with Williams, and combined with his newfound long putter, he has been a force all season.  Tiger on the other hand did not even qualify for most of the season ending PGA events and has continued to just focus on his struggling game.  The question for this event,  this day one battle down under, is simple.  Who gets in whose head first.  Granted, Scott is the one making the shots out there and not Williams, but there is no denying that this is an extra distraction for Scott.  Williams, who will no doubt have the home country crowd behind him every step of the way, seems to be the type that will try and do or say something that no one else on the course (even Scott) would know is meant to tweak Tiger.  Williams could even just say something to Scott with Tiger in ear shot that is meant to remind Tiger of their past life together, a small inside dig from the Aussie.  The possiblilites are endless.  It could even lead to a fracas out there with Tiger wielding a nine iron, with Elin like precision, to Stevie’s cranium.

In reality though, this could be where Tiger shines.  Could this be just the motivation Tiger needs?  He is actually playing well, coming off a third place finish last week in the Australian Open, so his golf game may finally be coming around.  There were reports of low 60′s rounds while he had time off to “work on his game” in Florida.  He has a new caddie of his own that he seems to be relaxed with, Joe LaCava, who was with Freddie Couples for years and just left Dustin Johnson to join team Tiger.  Johnson is no slouch as a player and has earned much more purse money than Tiger in the past two years, so that tells you where LaCava thinks Tiger’s game can go.  As far as Tiger playing head games with the Scott/Williams combo tonight (coverage from 9:00pm to 2:00am, Golf Channel) it seems unlikely.  Tiger will just go about his business and attempt to let his play do the talking in this alternate shot format.  Its a bit of a shame that this years Presidents Cup is in Australia making for a time change disaster for the US golf viewer and the networks that cover it.  Because this will be more than interesting appointment television.  I think the best way to get in the spirt is to grab a Foster’s, grill some shrimp, make a few racist comments, and get in that outback mood… no rules, just right, mate.

Bets of the Night

Woods/Stricker to defeat Scott/Choi in Thursday Foursomes Match  Bet $135 to win $100

This duo of Stricker and Woods are 6-1 in Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup play, so they clearly are comfortable playing partners.  This could not be more important than in the tough alternate shot format.  You have to trust each other, lift each other, and putt well, and I think this duo does just that.  Nothing bad to say about the other side of this coin as Scott and Choi are having solid years, but as a duo their chemistry is just not there.  Sometimes that can be good, because it is harder to disappoint someone you are less familiar with and trying to impress.  But I just think that Tiger is getting a little tired of the B.S., is playing well, and has something to prove. Look out.

The Japan Man

Bigger than Tiger in Japan

Els/Ishikawa to defeat Watson/Simpson in Thursday Foursomes Match  Bet $100 to Win $110

The smooth swinging South African seems to have rediscovered his game this year.  His kids have gotten older and things are starting to settle in his life.  He is playing well enough, loves the format, and is very familiar with this course.  His partner (the Tiger Woods of Japan) is in his 2nd Presidents cup at age 20!  He is playing with the perfect partner who will guide him around this course since Ryo showed up late for this event and only has one full practice round.  This classic young gun/veteran combo is taking on the brash basher in Watson along with his, awestruck to be here partner, in Webb Simpson.  I think these two will clunk heads like Larry and Mo in this round and get frustrated with each other, and the consistent play from the opponent.  Best Bet

Pending Long Odds Bet

Sports Illustrated 2003 Shoot

Longshot Toms & Wife Sonya

David Toms to be the Top American Points Scorer in the Presidents Cup.  Bet $50 to win$600

So as it turns out my boy Toms was paired with Hunter Mahan and is going against Y.E, Yang and K.T. Kim.  Needless to say I am more than happy with this outcome for the first round.  This is one of the most favored match’s on the board for day one.  Here are my original comments when I made the bet:  With so many young guys and first timers on the U.S. team, Freddie Couples will be likely to pair Toms a lot.  This will give him more chances for points.  I also think he will get a day with Tiger who may respond to the team aspect of this event as just what the doctor ordered.  Toms is super steady and this course in Australia is a classic design and not crazy long.

News & Notes

- Split the Monday night NFL bets by missing the under by 1 point!  Can I ever have a sweep night…ever?

-  Possible headline in the next week or two in the Penn State scandal “Sandusky dead from self inflicted gunshot wound”.

- Another UFC event this Saturday (Henderson Vs. Shogun), bets to come on this for sure as well as Presidents Cup bets the rest of the week.

- Some great stuff on Real Sports with Bryant Gumbel on HBO this past episode.  Check it out On Demand.

-  Is there any conceivable way the Jets could lose to Denver this Thursday night?

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  97-98-4
Win/Push Percentage = 50.75%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 22-25-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 6-7

Best Bets = 16-10
Best Best Win Percentage = 61.53%

Kitty Total = $567.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($574.21)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-25

Money Invested = $660.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


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Rex Ryan….Tool

Posted on November 14, 2011
Moron

Seriously?

Hey future movie star, how’s it going this Monday morning. Did Adam Sandler call you on Sunday afternoon to wish you luck?  I bet you guys had fun on the set together.  Laughing it up about the Belichick bobble-head and the Brady poster.  That scene looks so funny it had to be written by that comic movie genius Sandler himself.  All seems pretty stupid now doesn’t it.  While you were doing your pre-game taped segment with Bob Costas to increase your pompous, self promoted, bulbous profile, Bill Belichick was watching tape.  You could not have needed this game more.  You were at home, you had won three in a row and on a roll.  You actually were able to keep your fat trap shut this week, so as not to stir emotion in the Patriots locker room.  Your opponent was struggling in ways not seen in ages.  This was your time to take it.  Seize the throne of the AFC East, once and for all.  This was going to signal the real changing of the guard, and the new colors were going to fly green and white because of you.  You were secretly giddy in practice all week.  Joking with all of your assistant coaches like a plump schoolgirl discovering Oreo’s in her lunch bag.  You could barely contain yourself as you planned your first drive.  Sanchez, the wonder-boy was going to have a pass happy start for a touchdown and put the maligned defense on its precarious heels.  Then you follow with a steady diet of the “Ground and Pound” as you call it.  That sounds like a good game plan to me, you said, as it was told to you by your assistants, before you snuck out early for the new Wendy’s Hot N’ Juicy (triple no doubt).

You could not be more excited to be the coach that rammed the final nails in Belichick’s season.  The whole evening was planned out: Smash the Patriots into the ground, give the game ball to whomever took out Brady’s leg, go home and suck down a few brews while eating until cross-eyed, and then finish it off with a nice toe sucking session with you trollish wife.  Unfortunately, the plan did not work out as desired, but at least you got the sympathy toe sucking session after you put on your pouty face.  You are a tool.  I can not wait for the day your assistant coaches head for greener pastures with better coaching offers and you are forced to hire new guys.  Then we will see you for the fraud you are.  You are a circus clown.  You are the cherubic jolly guy that tries to be everyone’s buddy and smile all the time in order to hide the fact that you read at a first grade level.  Sure you have had some success in spite of yourself, and your “I’m one of the Guy’s”, and “we take no shit from anyone” approach, has worked at times.  But when the rubber meets the road and you really need to win, whether it’s AFC championship games, or big divisional games that will decide the fate of your season, you can’t do it because you are stupid.  Go to the corner with your crafty one liners and your media camera’s following you, and stare at the wall, just like you did every other day in elementary school.  You got taken to the woodshed and whooped like it was your daddy all over again.  Only Buddy took it easy on you, because he always had to give your idiot brother Rob a few extra licks because he was (unfathomably) even dumber than you.

In case you are fuzzy on what happened lets recap for a second shall we?  Your team (as HC of the NYJ) lost to the worst ranked defense in the NFL.  Your teams’ offense could not score against six un-drafted free agents, most of which walked into the Patriots facility this past week!  Your team got spanked on a national stage in a must win game.  If I am a Jets fan, I would be calling for you to roll aside and leave the team.  That’s right, just tilt over to one side and roll right out of the meadowlands and save you, your family, and Jets fans everywhere, the embarrassment of pretending you can coach football.  There are plenty of things you could do outside of the game.  How about continuing to pursue this acting bug you seem to have?  Maybe you could be the next Chris Farley?  You could make silly sophomoric comedies and wear a dress and play a funny grandma type, and you would not even need the fat suit!  How about a a remake of “Planes, Trains, & Automobiles”?  Reprise the classic John Candy role as the pathetic loser that always manages to screw up, no heavy lifting there!  In the end it will not really matter what you do.  The big flatbed truck will still show up, and the saws will be put in motion.  The hole will be cut in the wall of the second story of your house, and the crane will lift and carry your massive idiotic frame out to the street, for the long ride down the New Jersey Turnpike with the headlights on.

Bets of the Night (pending from Friday)

Vikings Vs. Packers Under 51 Total Points  Bet $110 to win $100

This game is at Green Bay.  The Vikes stink to high heaven.  The Pack is the best team in the NFL. Green Bay is favored by 13.5 point.  Why the under?  Monday Night Football is why.  The Vikes will play with effort and heart.  They will not want to be the doormat for the Monday night coronation crew in the booth.  Will the Minnesota cover, maybe?  If you say maybe to that question you almost have to say yes to the under 51.

Will Christian Ponder (Vikings) throw and interception tonight? Yes  Bet $220 to win $100

Despite liking the Under in this game, I have to figure that with the Vikes trailing for most of the game, the rookie QB will be forced to sling it.  And when he does, look out.  This Green Bay secondary can play and will be salivating when Ponder drops back.  They may even knock into each other as they fight for the pick six, but lets hope not.

New Pending Long Shot Bet

David Toms to be the Top American Points Scorer in the Presidents Cup.  Bet $50 to win$600

With so many young guys and first timers on the U.S. team, Freddie Couples will be likely to pair Toms a lot.  This will give him more chances for points.  I also think he will get a day with Tiger who may respond to the team aspect of this event as just what the doctor ordered.  Toms is super steady and this course in Australia is a classic design and not crazy long.

News & Notes

- Lost both UFC bouts I bet on.  Clay Guida had about three chances for a submission on Henderson but could not make it happen.  As for the big Velasquez fight… not what you want if you are Dana White, a quick rabbit punch knock out of your champ.  But it was the highest rated MMA match in history. More of those to come for sure.

- So far 2-2 on the NFL this weekend with two bets pending (above).  I need these two as I am $405 down overall this weekend (UFC and NFL combined).

- Is it me, or did Ochocinco actually forget what to do when he catches a ball because it had been so long?

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  96-97-4
Win/Push Percentage = 50.76%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 21-24-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-10
Best Best Win Percentage = 61.53%

Kitty Total = $577.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($564.21)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-25

Money Invested = $660.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


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Hello World?

Posted on November 11, 2011
Next Sports Superstar?

Ultimate Athlete

The Ultimate Fighting Championships will own the sports universe across the globe this Saturday night.  For the first time in its history the UFC will be airing live on national TV.  No $44.99 for this heavyweight title fight.  For a long time UFC fan, such as myself, it is great to have this big a feature fight be free, and on such a big stage..  This is a great move for the UFC which has lost some of the juice it was gaining since some of the big name stalwarts started to fade into the sunset.  Guys like Matt Hughes, Chuck Liddell, and Randy Couture have (almost) moved on from the sport and the semi-casual fan has had to learn new names and faces.  Brock Lesnar, the former WWE wrester, shot up the charts and was crowned champ after only four fights.  But, after some health issues and a decisive loss in defense of his new found title, the big name factor was again an issue for the UFC.  Now the man that slapped down Mr. Lesnar, Cain Velasquez (9-0 record), takes on Junior Dos Santos (12-1 record) for the heavy weight title.

The one major problem I have with the “Live on FOX” fight is that the broadcast will only show this one fight in its entirety.  The UFC and FOX decided to concentrate only on this fight and not show any of the undercard on FOX.  This is a big mistake.  The reason I am always willing to pony up the PPV money for these UFC events is that you always are treated to good fights even if the main event is a stinker.  The other seven or so fights are usually where the best arm breaking submissions, and brutal one punch knockouts come from.  These fights also introduce you to new guys that make you want to see them fight again.  Now, Dana White and FOX have put all their eggs in one basket, and if this fight turns out to be a dud, the yolks on them.  The boxing media pundits and the Bob Ryan’s of the world will write that this event was a failure and it was just two guys wrestling on the ground for 15 minutes.  The undercard fights will be able to be seen on Facebook and Foxsports.com!  Not even Spike or Versus?  What the hell is that all about?  In the end though this will be a ratings giant for the evening and FOX will be very happy.  If the fight stays standing and these two tremendous athletes (both in better shape than anyone playing on Sunday) give us a good fight, it will be the coming out party that the Fertitta Brothers and Dana White have dreamed of since buying the UFC for a measly sum of two million dollars in 2001.

Bets of the Weekend

Ultimate Fighting Championships

Clay Guida Madman

Can you say scar tissue?

Clay Guida to Defeat Ben Henderson  Bet $100 to win $200

This fight was originally scheduled to be part of the FOX broadcast live, but was then pulled in order to focus on the main event only.  I will be watching on Foxsports.com. Guida is an insane wild haired maniac, with boundless energy and a heart and chin that will not quit.  He does cut easily after over 30 fights, so that can be an issue.  He is fighting a favored, young, up and comer who is not new to a big stage, having fought and won on PPV events in the past.  This is one of those “anything can happen” bets in the UFC that can workout at times.  I like Clay to test Henderson’s chin early and swarm on him with positive results.

Cain Velasquez to Defeat Junior Dos Santos  Bet $190 to win $100

Introducing this fight is where Bruce Buffer belongs, not the WSOP.  These two guys are monster’s.  Only one loss amongst the two of them, to go with 21 wins combined, these guys can fight.  Mexico Vs. Brazil.  Think those two countries will be tuning in?  Velasquez made Lesnar look silly in their fight but that will not be the case in this one. Dos Santos is much more skilled and trained in MMA and both have huge knockout power.  Size, reach, and age are virtual ties, so why Cain?  Well aside from seeing a the most recent twitter pic of Junior with his hand in ice and posing with doctors, I would say its the belief that Cain is stronger and will pack more punch and avoid the big takedowns.

National Football League

Bills +5.5 Vs. Cowboys  Bet $105 to win $100

Buffalo has a swarming, risk taking, defense both on the line and in the secondary.  For them to pull off a cover they will have to score at least one defensive touchdown.  Tony Romo will try to make plays to his big receivers but may be surprised at the scheme the Bills throw at him leading to a pick or two.  I think the Buffalo offense will struggle a little with the Dallas pass rush as it did last week as well, but I think they get the running game on track.  The Boys also tend to take it a little too easy when they are at home.  Maybe its the full recliners at each locker?

Del Rio Lookalike

Separated at Birth?

Jaguars -3 Vs. Colts  Bet $115 to win $100

I just don’t buy that the Colts can win this game.  The Jags play hard without the greatest talent on board, but I think Del Rio will not let his team walk into this road game overconfident.  You do not want to be the team to give Indy its first win, and I am sure that the Colts staff circled this game after week 4 as their big chance to get one in the win column.  Jones Drew is one of the toughest runners in the league and he will have a big day.

Titans +3.5 Vs. Panthers  Bet $105 to win $100

Cam Newton spent the bye week partying like a rock star, no doubt.  Back home to hang with old “friends” is never good for a super rich, young, NFL QB. He will be inaccurate in the passing game and have to rely on running out of the pocket, which may get him on his back and out of the game.  Not to mention, Chris Johnson did come out of his shell last week for over 100 yards total offense, and this week could rush for over 150.  Johnson has actually faced some tough run defenses so far this year which speaks to his lack of production.  The defense for Carolina is swiss cheese.

Jim Harbaugh

Coachsplosion?

Giants +3.5 Vs. 49ers  Bet $210 to win $200

This one came down to some pretty simple observations.  (1.) The Giants are better than people think.  (2.) San Fran is not as good as people think.  (3.) The Giants are getting over 3 points. (4). Harbaugh is due for a coaching meltdown. (5.) Alex Smith might get torn in half during a sack from two Giants at the same time. (6.) Brandon Jacobs is loving the more carries and it will continue. (7.) Best Bet.

Monday Night Pick

Vikings Vs. Packers Under 51 Total Points  Bet $110 to win $100

This game is at Green Bay.  The Vikes stink to high heaven.  The Pack is the best team in the NFL. Green Bay is favored by 13.5 point.  Why the under?  Monday Night Football is why.  The Vikes will play with effort and heart.  They will not want to be the doormat for the Monday night coronation crew in the booth.  Will the Minnesota cover, maybe?  If you say maybe to that question you almost have to say yes to the under 51.

News & Notes

- Pretty much another all or nothing weekend.  I have $935 on the line to win $800.  A sweep of losses and I am crippled once again.

- Have no fear underdog is here!  Four of my seven bets are dogs.

- Its official I am never betting the Chargers again!!!!!

- UFC Prelim fights start at 4:45 Saturday on Foxsports.com.

- As for the NFL Network broadcast last night?  The announcers volume was… OK, but the crowd noise is still so cut off that it gives the game less drama.  Huge mess ups in the pre-game stuff, mikes failed, dead air, it was pretty bad.  Nessler and Mayock were solid, although Mayock seems so smart that he tried to impress a little too much.  Take the foot off the “look how much I know” pedal every now and then.

- I plan on being live on Twitter for the start of the UFC main event, so tune in.

- Want Rex Ryan to go down this weekend with every fiber of my being…but I am not sure it can happen with this team right now.

- Have a good weekend and see you Monday with full pockets!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  94-93-4
Win/Push Percentage = 51.30%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-22-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-9
Best Best Win Percentage = 64.00%

Kitty Total = $982.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($159.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 2-25
Money Invested = $660.00
Winnings = $1,300.00


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Are Ya Ready For Some Sub Par Broadcasting!

Posted on November 10, 2011

NFL NetworkIt doesn’t really have the same ring as the Monday night football theme does it?  Once again the NFL Network, the JV of sports broadcasting, will begin its Thursday Night Football lineup.  Football diehards, gamblers, fantasy geeks, and semi-premium cable package viewers across the nation will be tuning in for yet another half season of mediocre match ups.  The typical match up is an OK team like the Philadelphia Eagles taking on a horror show like the Seattle Seahawks (Week 13).  Is that really fun to watch?  Granted the Sunday night games on NBC, and even the Monday night games on ESPN get some stinkers every now and then as well.  But there is one clear difference.  Somehow the producers at NBC and ESPN have figured out a way for the announcers to be able to broadcast the game without being locked in an airtight soundproof booth filled with water.  It is one thing to give me a crappy game but another to have it sound like its being aired by my local Wayne’s World cable access channel.  Every Thursday night game on the NFL network that I have tuned in for sounded dead.  The crowd noise sounds muffled and not mixed correctly with the voice of the announcers.  It sounds as if the announcers are in their Atlanta studios watching it on TV like you or I and speaking into microphones in a closet.  I am not sure why this is, but it gives me an almost empty depressed feeling.  This is all coupled with the fact that the network has yet to embrace any kind of dynamic color, preferring to show the field action in a haze of grey and dark shadows (ESPN has a little of this going on as well).  The owners and the NFL put 100 million into this network back in 2003 to get it off the ground and I am sure they have made good ad money since. Where is the revenue going?  Not into the broadcast that’s for sure.

The other problem has been the choice of talent.  The Bryant Gumbel experiment was a disaster.  He was so boring and seemed almost uninterested at times.  The nugget that did come out of that first year in 2006 was his broadcast color man Cris Collinsworth.  With so much dead air to fill during Gumbel’s brain lapses, it gave Collinsworth room to flourish and develo