Rex Ryan….Tool

Posted on November 14, 2011
Moron

Seriously?

Hey future movie star, how’s it going this Monday morning. Did Adam Sandler call you on Sunday afternoon to wish you luck?  I bet you guys had fun on the set together.  Laughing it up about the Belichick bobble-head and the Brady poster.  That scene looks so funny it had to be written by that comic movie genius Sandler himself.  All seems pretty stupid now doesn’t it.  While you were doing your pre-game taped segment with Bob Costas to increase your pompous, self promoted, bulbous profile, Bill Belichick was watching tape.  You could not have needed this game more.  You were at home, you had won three in a row and on a roll.  You actually were able to keep your fat trap shut this week, so as not to stir emotion in the Patriots locker room.  Your opponent was struggling in ways not seen in ages.  This was your time to take it.  Seize the throne of the AFC East, once and for all.  This was going to signal the real changing of the guard, and the new colors were going to fly green and white because of you.  You were secretly giddy in practice all week.  Joking with all of your assistant coaches like a plump schoolgirl discovering Oreo’s in her lunch bag.  You could barely contain yourself as you planned your first drive.  Sanchez, the wonder-boy was going to have a pass happy start for a touchdown and put the maligned defense on its precarious heels.  Then you follow with a steady diet of the “Ground and Pound” as you call it.  That sounds like a good game plan to me, you said, as it was told to you by your assistants, before you snuck out early for the new Wendy’s Hot N’ Juicy (triple no doubt).

You could not be more excited to be the coach that rammed the final nails in Belichick’s season.  The whole evening was planned out: Smash the Patriots into the ground, give the game ball to whomever took out Brady’s leg, go home and suck down a few brews while eating until cross-eyed, and then finish it off with a nice toe sucking session with you trollish wife.  Unfortunately, the plan did not work out as desired, but at least you got the sympathy toe sucking session after you put on your pouty face.  You are a tool.  I can not wait for the day your assistant coaches head for greener pastures with better coaching offers and you are forced to hire new guys.  Then we will see you for the fraud you are.  You are a circus clown.  You are the cherubic jolly guy that tries to be everyone’s buddy and smile all the time in order to hide the fact that you read at a first grade level.  Sure you have had some success in spite of yourself, and your “I’m one of the Guy’s”, and “we take no shit from anyone” approach, has worked at times.  But when the rubber meets the road and you really need to win, whether it’s AFC championship games, or big divisional games that will decide the fate of your season, you can’t do it because you are stupid.  Go to the corner with your crafty one liners and your media camera’s following you, and stare at the wall, just like you did every other day in elementary school.  You got taken to the woodshed and whooped like it was your daddy all over again.  Only Buddy took it easy on you, because he always had to give your idiot brother Rob a few extra licks because he was (unfathomably) even dumber than you.

In case you are fuzzy on what happened lets recap for a second shall we?  Your team (as HC of the NYJ) lost to the worst ranked defense in the NFL.  Your teams’ offense could not score against six un-drafted free agents, most of which walked into the Patriots facility this past week!  Your team got spanked on a national stage in a must win game.  If I am a Jets fan, I would be calling for you to roll aside and leave the team.  That’s right, just tilt over to one side and roll right out of the meadowlands and save you, your family, and Jets fans everywhere, the embarrassment of pretending you can coach football.  There are plenty of things you could do outside of the game.  How about continuing to pursue this acting bug you seem to have?  Maybe you could be the next Chris Farley?  You could make silly sophomoric comedies and wear a dress and play a funny grandma type, and you would not even need the fat suit!  How about a a remake of “Planes, Trains, & Automobiles”?  Reprise the classic John Candy role as the pathetic loser that always manages to screw up, no heavy lifting there!  In the end it will not really matter what you do.  The big flatbed truck will still show up, and the saws will be put in motion.  The hole will be cut in the wall of the second story of your house, and the crane will lift and carry your massive idiotic frame out to the street, for the long ride down the New Jersey Turnpike with the headlights on.

Bets of the Night (pending from Friday)

Vikings Vs. Packers Under 51 Total Points  Bet $110 to win $100

This game is at Green Bay.  The Vikes stink to high heaven.  The Pack is the best team in the NFL. Green Bay is favored by 13.5 point.  Why the under?  Monday Night Football is why.  The Vikes will play with effort and heart.  They will not want to be the doormat for the Monday night coronation crew in the booth.  Will the Minnesota cover, maybe?  If you say maybe to that question you almost have to say yes to the under 51.

Will Christian Ponder (Vikings) throw and interception tonight? Yes  Bet $220 to win $100

Despite liking the Under in this game, I have to figure that with the Vikes trailing for most of the game, the rookie QB will be forced to sling it.  And when he does, look out.  This Green Bay secondary can play and will be salivating when Ponder drops back.  They may even knock into each other as they fight for the pick six, but lets hope not.

New Pending Long Shot Bet

David Toms to be the Top American Points Scorer in the Presidents Cup.  Bet $50 to win$600

With so many young guys and first timers on the U.S. team, Freddie Couples will be likely to pair Toms a lot.  This will give him more chances for points.  I also think he will get a day with Tiger who may respond to the team aspect of this event as just what the doctor ordered.  Toms is super steady and this course in Australia is a classic design and not crazy long.

News & Notes

- Lost both UFC bouts I bet on.  Clay Guida had about three chances for a submission on Henderson but could not make it happen.  As for the big Velasquez fight… not what you want if you are Dana White, a quick rabbit punch knock out of your champ.  But it was the highest rated MMA match in history. More of those to come for sure.

- So far 2-2 on the NFL this weekend with two bets pending (above).  I need these two as I am $405 down overall this weekend (UFC and NFL combined).

- Is it me, or did Ochocinco actually forget what to do when he catches a ball because it had been so long?

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  96-97-4
Win/Push Percentage = 50.76%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 21-24-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-10
Best Best Win Percentage = 61.53%

Kitty Total = $577.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($564.21)

Long Odds Bets

Record = 2-25

Money Invested = $660.00

Winnings = $1,300.00


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Hello World?

Posted on November 11, 2011
Next Sports Superstar?

Ultimate Athlete

The Ultimate Fighting Championships will own the sports universe across the globe this Saturday night.  For the first time in its history the UFC will be airing live on national TV.  No $44.99 for this heavyweight title fight.  For a long time UFC fan, such as myself, it is great to have this big a feature fight be free, and on such a big stage..  This is a great move for the UFC which has lost some of the juice it was gaining since some of the big name stalwarts started to fade into the sunset.  Guys like Matt Hughes, Chuck Liddell, and Randy Couture have (almost) moved on from the sport and the semi-casual fan has had to learn new names and faces.  Brock Lesnar, the former WWE wrester, shot up the charts and was crowned champ after only four fights.  But, after some health issues and a decisive loss in defense of his new found title, the big name factor was again an issue for the UFC.  Now the man that slapped down Mr. Lesnar, Cain Velasquez (9-0 record), takes on Junior Dos Santos (12-1 record) for the heavy weight title.

The one major problem I have with the “Live on FOX” fight is that the broadcast will only show this one fight in its entirety.  The UFC and FOX decided to concentrate only on this fight and not show any of the undercard on FOX.  This is a big mistake.  The reason I am always willing to pony up the PPV money for these UFC events is that you always are treated to good fights even if the main event is a stinker.  The other seven or so fights are usually where the best arm breaking submissions, and brutal one punch knockouts come from.  These fights also introduce you to new guys that make you want to see them fight again.  Now, Dana White and FOX have put all their eggs in one basket, and if this fight turns out to be a dud, the yolks on them.  The boxing media pundits and the Bob Ryan’s of the world will write that this event was a failure and it was just two guys wrestling on the ground for 15 minutes.  The undercard fights will be able to be seen on Facebook and Foxsports.com!  Not even Spike or Versus?  What the hell is that all about?  In the end though this will be a ratings giant for the evening and FOX will be very happy.  If the fight stays standing and these two tremendous athletes (both in better shape than anyone playing on Sunday) give us a good fight, it will be the coming out party that the Fertitta Brothers and Dana White have dreamed of since buying the UFC for a measly sum of two million dollars in 2001.

Bets of the Weekend

Ultimate Fighting Championships

Clay Guida Madman

Can you say scar tissue?

Clay Guida to Defeat Ben Henderson  Bet $100 to win $200

This fight was originally scheduled to be part of the FOX broadcast live, but was then pulled in order to focus on the main event only.  I will be watching on Foxsports.com. Guida is an insane wild haired maniac, with boundless energy and a heart and chin that will not quit.  He does cut easily after over 30 fights, so that can be an issue.  He is fighting a favored, young, up and comer who is not new to a big stage, having fought and won on PPV events in the past.  This is one of those “anything can happen” bets in the UFC that can workout at times.  I like Clay to test Henderson’s chin early and swarm on him with positive results.

Cain Velasquez to Defeat Junior Dos Santos  Bet $190 to win $100

Introducing this fight is where Bruce Buffer belongs, not the WSOP.  These two guys are monster’s.  Only one loss amongst the two of them, to go with 21 wins combined, these guys can fight.  Mexico Vs. Brazil.  Think those two countries will be tuning in?  Velasquez made Lesnar look silly in their fight but that will not be the case in this one. Dos Santos is much more skilled and trained in MMA and both have huge knockout power.  Size, reach, and age are virtual ties, so why Cain?  Well aside from seeing a the most recent twitter pic of Junior with his hand in ice and posing with doctors, I would say its the belief that Cain is stronger and will pack more punch and avoid the big takedowns.

National Football League

Bills +5.5 Vs. Cowboys  Bet $105 to win $100

Buffalo has a swarming, risk taking, defense both on the line and in the secondary.  For them to pull off a cover they will have to score at least one defensive touchdown.  Tony Romo will try to make plays to his big receivers but may be surprised at the scheme the Bills throw at him leading to a pick or two.  I think the Buffalo offense will struggle a little with the Dallas pass rush as it did last week as well, but I think they get the running game on track.  The Boys also tend to take it a little too easy when they are at home.  Maybe its the full recliners at each locker?

Del Rio Lookalike

Separated at Birth?

Jaguars -3 Vs. Colts  Bet $115 to win $100

I just don’t buy that the Colts can win this game.  The Jags play hard without the greatest talent on board, but I think Del Rio will not let his team walk into this road game overconfident.  You do not want to be the team to give Indy its first win, and I am sure that the Colts staff circled this game after week 4 as their big chance to get one in the win column.  Jones Drew is one of the toughest runners in the league and he will have a big day.

Titans +3.5 Vs. Panthers  Bet $105 to win $100

Cam Newton spent the bye week partying like a rock star, no doubt.  Back home to hang with old “friends” is never good for a super rich, young, NFL QB. He will be inaccurate in the passing game and have to rely on running out of the pocket, which may get him on his back and out of the game.  Not to mention, Chris Johnson did come out of his shell last week for over 100 yards total offense, and this week could rush for over 150.  Johnson has actually faced some tough run defenses so far this year which speaks to his lack of production.  The defense for Carolina is swiss cheese.

Jim Harbaugh

Coachsplosion?

Giants +3.5 Vs. 49ers  Bet $210 to win $200

This one came down to some pretty simple observations.  (1.) The Giants are better than people think.  (2.) San Fran is not as good as people think.  (3.) The Giants are getting over 3 points. (4). Harbaugh is due for a coaching meltdown. (5.) Alex Smith might get torn in half during a sack from two Giants at the same time. (6.) Brandon Jacobs is loving the more carries and it will continue. (7.) Best Bet.

Monday Night Pick

Vikings Vs. Packers Under 51 Total Points  Bet $110 to win $100

This game is at Green Bay.  The Vikes stink to high heaven.  The Pack is the best team in the NFL. Green Bay is favored by 13.5 point.  Why the under?  Monday Night Football is why.  The Vikes will play with effort and heart.  They will not want to be the doormat for the Monday night coronation crew in the booth.  Will the Minnesota cover, maybe?  If you say maybe to that question you almost have to say yes to the under 51.

News & Notes

- Pretty much another all or nothing weekend.  I have $935 on the line to win $800.  A sweep of losses and I am crippled once again.

- Have no fear underdog is here!  Four of my seven bets are dogs.

- Its official I am never betting the Chargers again!!!!!

- UFC Prelim fights start at 4:45 Saturday on Foxsports.com.

- As for the NFL Network broadcast last night?  The announcers volume was… OK, but the crowd noise is still so cut off that it gives the game less drama.  Huge mess ups in the pre-game stuff, mikes failed, dead air, it was pretty bad.  Nessler and Mayock were solid, although Mayock seems so smart that he tried to impress a little too much.  Take the foot off the “look how much I know” pedal every now and then.

- I plan on being live on Twitter for the start of the UFC main event, so tune in.

- Want Rex Ryan to go down this weekend with every fiber of my being…but I am not sure it can happen with this team right now.

- Have a good weekend and see you Monday with full pockets!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  94-93-4
Win/Push Percentage = 51.30%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-22-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-9
Best Best Win Percentage = 64.00%

Kitty Total = $982.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($159.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 2-25
Money Invested = $660.00
Winnings = $1,300.00


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Are Ya Ready For Some Sub Par Broadcasting!

Posted on November 10, 2011

NFL NetworkIt doesn’t really have the same ring as the Monday night football theme does it?  Once again the NFL Network, the JV of sports broadcasting, will begin its Thursday Night Football lineup.  Football diehards, gamblers, fantasy geeks, and semi-premium cable package viewers across the nation will be tuning in for yet another half season of mediocre match ups.  The typical match up is an OK team like the Philadelphia Eagles taking on a horror show like the Seattle Seahawks (Week 13).  Is that really fun to watch?  Granted the Sunday night games on NBC, and even the Monday night games on ESPN get some stinkers every now and then as well.  But there is one clear difference.  Somehow the producers at NBC and ESPN have figured out a way for the announcers to be able to broadcast the game without being locked in an airtight soundproof booth filled with water.  It is one thing to give me a crappy game but another to have it sound like its being aired by my local Wayne’s World cable access channel.  Every Thursday night game on the NFL network that I have tuned in for sounded dead.  The crowd noise sounds muffled and not mixed correctly with the voice of the announcers.  It sounds as if the announcers are in their Atlanta studios watching it on TV like you or I and speaking into microphones in a closet.  I am not sure why this is, but it gives me an almost empty depressed feeling.  This is all coupled with the fact that the network has yet to embrace any kind of dynamic color, preferring to show the field action in a haze of grey and dark shadows (ESPN has a little of this going on as well).  The owners and the NFL put 100 million into this network back in 2003 to get it off the ground and I am sure they have made good ad money since. Where is the revenue going?  Not into the broadcast that’s for sure.

The other problem has been the choice of talent.  The Bryant Gumbel experiment was a disaster.  He was so boring and seemed almost uninterested at times.  The nugget that did come out of that first year in 2006 was his broadcast color man Cris Collinsworth.  With so much dead air to fill during Gumbel’s brain lapses, it gave Collinsworth room to flourish and develop into clearly the best guy doing it today.  A stream of curious choices came after that first year including the knowledgeable but soft spoken Marshall Faulk, the ebonics master of ceremonies Deion Sanders, the faceless Bob Papa, GM wiz Matt Millen, and ESPN castoff Joe (dumb as a bag of rocks) Theismann.  They can just never seem to get it right in the booth.  Now we have the high profile famous duo of Brad Nessler and Mike Mayock.  Who?  Nessler, took a few clicks more than it should have to find a picture of him and seems to have been more of a college announcer.  Mayock is a Boston College grad who had a cup of Joe with the Giants in the 80′s and has been a draft analyst for the network.  While they do not knock my socks off these choices could be part of a new direction.  The NFL network war room may have decided to go with solid knowledgable guys who know the game, instead of a flashy name in a Sean Jean double-breasted  suit.

Can they get it right?  Will this be the year?  Will they work the kinks out before the 2nd broadcast in a week 11 match featuring the big storyline of good versus evil (Tebow vs. Rex)?  I hope they do.  I want my unofficial start to the weekend this fall and winter to not put me in funk and question why I pay this extra $10 a month.  Maybe the real problem is that the NFL just overstepped its bounds with another football day in the first place.  They got too greedy and wanted a day for their own network when no one really needed it.  Sunday and Monday used to be enough.  Then came Saturdays after college football regular season ended.  Do we really need a fourth day?  Me being me, I say sure why not, but I am not your average fan.  The average fan may not want another day, but I think it is safe to they would be a little bit more inclined to tune in if it looked and sounded somewhat professional.  That is the test tonight.

Bet of the Night

Chargers -7 vs. Raiders  Bet $120 to win $100

A few losses ago I vowed to never bet the Chargers again (Rivers fumbled snap game).  These west coast wimps always seem to lose the big game, and never seem as physical as the opponent they are playing.  I have also been burnt recently (this past sunday) by the Raiders.  I could not find a bet on Over 6 interceptions combined or I may have been convinced to take it.  Rivers is slinging it all over the place and has two results, TD or pick six.  The Carson Palmer project has not played well in Oakland and I get the feeling his newfound teammates think he is a total ass. Overall the Chargers have the better talent and a (gulp) better coach.  They are at home (kiss of death for me) and both teams have had little prep time for this game.  There could be some big plays in this as well.  No McFadden for the Raiders again and it seems they really need him to sustain a drive.  Chargers cover.

News & Notes

- Aside from all the other stuff, the Penn State football team will have a very down 10 year stretch as a result.  You are a top high school recruit and the Penn State letter comes in the mail, where does it end up?

- What’s the deal with racist comments and Australians, first Mel Gibson, then Russell Crowe, now the ex Tiger looper Stevie Williams.  Issues Down Under?

- Back to regular betting, hoping to improve the NFL overall record back above 50%.  but when you win one longshot the temptation is to take more.

-UFC event Live on Fox for free on Saturday.  Smart move, stay tuned for opinion and picks for that.

- Friday afternoon NFL picks out tomorrow.  You know you want them after last week!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  94-92-4
Win/Push Percentage = 51.57%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-21-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-9
Best Best Win Percentage = 64.00%

Kitty Total = $1,102.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($39.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 2-25
Money Invested = $660.00
Winnings = $1,300.00


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Chicken Dinner!

Posted on November 09, 2011

Pius Heinz Wins WSOPFrom Zero to Hero in the turn of one card.  At approximately  3:30am this morning, six and a half hours after the awkward Bruce Buffer introductions, Pius Heinz, the 22 year old German, and my bet at 10-1 odds, took down the World Series of Poker Main Event.  It was 119 hands of heads up play with Martin Staszko which included 9 lead changes, and 204 tweets for this grateful wager winner.  I Red Bulled my way through every hand and judging how I feel now, I can safely say I would be in dire straits if I did not come out on top.  The desperation play I made on Sunday after the worst betting weekend of my life actually came through.  My “One Time” prayer was answered, and I can never use that phrase again.  My chip stack is replenished and I am moving on to fight, or in this case bet, another day.  Draining, tense, and long, it was, but for a poker dork like me never boring. Oh, and having $1000 on the line helped keep my interest as well.

Not exactly how ESPN drew this one up.  It is clear that the thought process was that if they stopped the play with three players left and moved it to a separate night and had it live, that it would be over in about three hours or so.  I am sure they looked at the history of how quick the last three players lasted in the past Main Events, but could not account for calculated small ball poker from two methodical players.  When Ben Lamb went out on the 4th hand (someone explain to me why he went all in when he could have just bet big and stayed alive, the only hand that calls him in that spot is a pocket pair or Ace/King) the producers of the show probably thought “oh my god this whole thing could be over in 15 minutes”!  And it very well could have gone that route.  One of the main keys to it lasting was simply the luck of the cards.  There were no hands that just played themselves.  Pocket rockets (pair of aces) versus pocket kings, never happened during this marathon.  If they had I would have a few more hours of sleep under my belt.  Will this convince ESPN to go back to the two hour wrap up show and scrap the live format?  I think they stick with it and hope this lengthy affair was the aberration.  They still will be showing the wrap up version of only the interesting and pivotal hands on Thursday at 9:30pm.  So if you have some sense, and missed the sun coming up and want to see how it unfolded down the stretch then tune in for that.

Heinz played well.  The entire time I was fearful of Heinz’s play.  I just kept thinking that Staszko was going to pick off a huge bluff at some point and end it.  But Heinz seemed to really adjust his style going into the final table.  Yes, he was still very aggressive, but he kept the pot size small, and avoided any real traps.  I also thought he was aided by Staszko’s play.  Every time time the cherubic czech got a decent chip advantage he seemed to put the brakes on and play a little too passive, trying to protect his new found chip lead.  Heads up play is truly about aggression and playing the player sitting across from you, not the cards in your hand.  Heinz was down to a 4-1 chip disadvantage at one point and was looking discouraged and tired.  Then he would win a hand and perk up and smile, an turn the aggression on again.  It was like watching a child pout when they don’t get their ice cream and immediately change mood when you give in.  But it was in those down moments that Heinz won this thing.  He did not let it get to him to the point of shipping all his chips in the middle with the worst of it.  And that is one of the hardest things to be able to do in poker.  Not to give up, give in, and say “the hell with it, lets roll the dice”.  Pretty much the exact opposite of what I did when I made this bet.  Back against the wall, six straight truly horrendous bet losses in a row, down to my last chip, and I said “the hell with it”…. and sucked out on the river.

News & Notes

- No bet for tonight, I will be hitting the sack early.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  94-92-4
Win/Push Percentage = 51.57%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-21-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-9
Best Best Win Percentage = 64.00%

Kitty Total = $1,102.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($39.21)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 2-25
Money Invested = $660.00
Winnings = $1,300.00


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“Having Nothing, Nothing Can He Lose”

Posted on November 07, 2011

The article below dated November 4th, 2011 entitled “Proud Papa” may stand for many years to come as the single worst prognostication in the history of sports betting.  Everything said was wrong.  Every thought errant.  Every instinct incorrect.  The term “Epic Fail” seems understated.  I stand before you (actually I am sitting, hunched over, neck wrenched. from a weekend of cringing) dumbfounded at the futility.  It was only 10 days ago that I was riding high, full of confidence with a bulging chest, high balance, and great win streak.  Only too happy to state how well I was running.  But as Caesar said “its only Hubris if I fail”, and fail I have.

Is there any purpose to going through a running commentary on how each game went?  How does one lose six consecutive wagers?  Here is a quick recap of the bloodbath: LSU beats Alabama outright, in Alabama, without either team scoring a touchdown, and four, yes four, missed field goals by the Tide.  Keegan Bradley starts two shots back in fourth place on day three of the tournament as a 40-1 shot, and proceeds to spiral to a 16th place finish.  The surging Chiefs playing at home against the winless Dolphins get blown out.  The Raiders at home against the very shaky Tim Tebow, and a 8 point favorite lose by two touchdowns.  The Titans at home, and favored, lose outright to the Bengals.  The nightcap, the Steelers at home, in a revenge match, and favored, lose outright in the final minute to the Ravens.  These were not even close.  It is one thing to say, I could have won that one, or I got screwed on this one, but these picks were so putridly opposite of reality its shocking.  I think it would be a good idea to play the lottery today and pick the numerical opposite of every birthday I know.  If you really stop and think it’s a statistical miracle to not only lose these six bets but to lose every one so badly.  I don’t want to get to philosophical here, but is this a sign?  Is the big guy upstairs telling me something?  I always hear George Burns voice: “Ross, stop this silliness and move on, this line of work isn’t for you kid”.

So there I was watching the Steelers get beat by the Ravens early in the game and staring at my remaining balance of $102.22.  Was the Monday night game (Eagles vs. Bears) going to be my last stand?  I then had an idea.  I checked in on the World Series of Poker on ESPN.  This event is the long shot of all long shots.  The every man tournament, that you or I can participate in.  Just pony up $10,000 and you have a seat.  What started in July with 6,865 entrants was now down to a single final table of 9 participants.  I had watched every possible moment on TV up to this point.  I have a TiVo filled with hours of poker shows, and been watching any form of No-Limit Texas Hold’em I could find for years.  I know names, and game styles, of probably the top 200 players in the world.  I am a Poker geek.  Surly, I can look at this crew of nine left and pick a winner?  Maybe…hopefully….please?  I decided to take a shot on a 22 year old German kid named Pius Heniz.  I took the last $100 I had eligible to bet from this year long experiment, and took this weird internet poker kid to win the tournament.  The bet was 10-1 odds.  I, at this point, have no reason to be betting anything.  But I took the long view.  It was September 2010 when I put $300 into my account and started wagering for fun on the weekend NFL games.  I turned that into $1,200 by the last whistle of the Superbowl win by the Packers.  I have not put in another dime since.  I have made bets for over a year on that same three hundred.  I could try to start betting small and work my way back up as I have done in these pages before, but something about the events of this weekend had changed my view.  In poker when all the chips are in the middle and you are not favored to win, and one card remains in the deck, the dealer about to show your fate, you can only say: One Time!!

Bet of the Experiment

My Only Hope?

Looks Like a Winner.... Right?

Pius Heniz To Win the World Series of Poker  Bet $100 to win $1000

After I made the bet I proceeded to watch on ESPN2.  Heniz super aggressive betting style had him roar into the chip lead.  They stopped the final table once it got down to three players left.  Heinz was left standing as the chip leader with 52% of the chips in play.  So now I have a 10-1 shot who stands with two players in front of him and the majority of the chips.  The coverage starts tomorrow night live at 9:00pm on ESPN and will go until there is a winner who out taking home over 8 million bucks! Poker is very fickle and this kid Heinz, (always in the white Hugo Boss hoodie) is prime for pushing his chips in at the worst possible moment.  I feel as if Ben Lamb (one of the other two remaining players) has his number, and can read him like a bad sports betting website.  But I could not be in a better spot right now.  Maybe Heniz does shove it all in and get called with the worst of it, only to suck out on Lamb and catch the case card he needs.  I could use that right now.  But if my amazing run continues then Heinz will bluff with seven deuce on the first hand.

News & Notes

- I would be remiss if I did not add that my son’s Fantasy football team, of which I co-manage, got crushed after I advised him not to start Reggie Bush this week.  Bush ended up getting 20 fantasy points, that would have won it for us.

- My Drop Dead pool selection of the Oakland Raiders, I made for my team, got us eliminated.

- One Time!!

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  94-92-4
Win/Push Percentage = 51.57%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-21-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-9
Best Best Win Percentage = 64.00%

Kitty Total = $2.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($1,039.01)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-25
Money Invested = $560.00
Winnings = $300.00

Pending Bet $100 to win $1000


One Response

  1. Ross:

    Here we go follow on twitter

    08.11.2011 21:01 Reply

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Proud Papa

Posted on November 04, 2011

NFL BabyHere we are at the halfway point of the NFL season.  It goes by so fast.  I can remember when this season was just a little baby with bright eyes and that fresh newborn smell.  So soft and warm you just want to curl up on your couch and hug it.  Then reality sets in, and it starts to spit-up and crap all over the place.  In these early stages you are not quite sure what you have yet.  You know you love, unconditionally, but what is the personality of this little guy going to be?  You see signs and make a guess as to how this infant will turn out, but you really don’t know whose genes will shine through more.  Then it starts talking and walking, and now you can see the development and the growth.  The smiles, the laughs, the crying, all start to add up, and you fill up with joy and emotion.  This is your child.  Just when you think you have figured it out, the toddler stage comes, and they’re running around knocking over things and fighting your every suggestion, only to work their way into your bed at night again.  And you are happy to have them.  Next, they reach that phase when you can start to joke around with them and they get it.  Still knocking things over from clumsiness as they grow gangly, and into the awkward stage. But you have a grasp.  You are in tune with who they are, and what their future will look like, and this brings you peace.  You do not have the next Ted Bundy on your hands.  You have done an OK job to this point.  Pat yourself on the back and look forward, because the second half is starting and you have the tools to succeed.  Knowledge and experience are your guides through this next chapter, as you remember what was once just a small helpless newborn staring up at you wide eyed and full of promise.  Bring on the second half.

Bets of the Weekend

NCAA Football

Alabama -4.5 Vs. LSU  Bet $105 to Win $100

Guess what?  This Saturday night is the college football national championship game!  Yup, the powers that be decided the hell with the rest of the season, lets just have the two best fight it out right now.  This is a rare thing to have the number 1 and number 2 teams meet in the regular season.  This is no doubt a game not to miss.  And I am talking as a guy who has not watched one NCAA football game this year.  If you are a football fan or not, this will be something to watch.  I am putting the over/under on actual heart attacks in the stadium at 3.  Two of them will be from massive (in size) LSU fans who made the trip from the Bayou to Tuscaloosa and stopped at every Home Town Buffet along the way.  I like Bama on my gut alone.  I studied this thing up and down.  They are very even.  Even records, even offense, even defense, even dominating performances against like opponents (they both beat up Florida and Tennessee).  So the scales get tipped on two things.  Home field advantage and coaching.  The refs want to go home alive, and Saban is better than Miles.

NFL Football Week 9 Picks

Fear the Beard

Fear The Beard!

Chiefs -4 vs. Dolphins  Bet $105 to Win $100

After blowing the lead and losing to the Giants its a wonder why Tony Sparano is still around.  I guess the Miami brass is just having him keep the head coaching chair warm and avoiding the midseason chaos of a change at this point.  Besides, what a story it will make when Harbaugh has a melt down (he is a little crazy) during this second half with the Niners and leaves to reunite with his Stanford QB, Andrew Luck, that the fins end up drafting number one.  I almost made this my best bet.  Why only four?  Miami is going to go to Arrowhead and keep it close against the bearded Todd Haley and this surging Kansas City team?  Me thinks not.

Raiders -8 vs. Bronco’s  Bet $105 to Win $100

This may be the end of the line for Tim Tebow.  He will get some yards on the ground, he may even toss in a TD pass.  But in the end, the Bronco’s defense gets spanked hard.  Eight is big number for the Raiders to cover but a few turnovers by Tebow will cause the men in black to score some extra points down the stretch.  I think Palmer gets it back in gear after being on the shelf for so long, and feels very comfy with his old binky he brought into town, TJ Housh.  These two will pick up where they left off, only this time Ochocinco will not be on the sideline complaining that he is not getting it more than TJ like the old days in Cincy.

Titans -3 vs. Bengals  Bet $200 to Win $210

Both these teams have decent records but neither one has beaten a very good team.  The Bengals defense has been very impressive and Andy Dalton is doing well for a rookie in the “play it safe” offense they have provided for him.  But this is back to back road games for Cincy, playing in Tennessee, with a stable Matt Hasselback behind center, who will know when to take the sack or throw it away before making the big mistake.  I also feel that despite the Bengals solid run defense, Chris Johnson may finally decide to get off his pile of money and show up for a game.  I think he will break a long one in this game.  You hear that Chris…thats pride messin with ya.  I am getting great odds for a Home favorite and it is my best bet.

Steelers -3 vs. Ravens  Bet $130 to win $100

Pittsburgh got spanked in week one 35-7 by this Baltimore team.  Now the rematch takes place on Sunday night primetime.  The let down factor, after manhandling the Patriots (no defense) is always a concern, and with any other team coming in to Heinz field I would be worried about that.  This is the Ravens.  The Steelers hate the Ravens.  The Ravens hate the Steelers.  Brutal division match up, and a must win for Pittsburgh from a tiebreaker standpoint down the road.  Ben is looking smooth, but so does every QB against the Pats, but they can run also, and this mix is critical when playing the Ravens defense.  Flaco has done jacko lately, and I think the team is getting a little tired of it. There will be steady diet of Ray Rice for sure in this game, but it will not be enough.  Oh, and also Mike Wallace is due for a bomb.

Pending Bet

Keegan Bradley

One Can Hope

Keegan Bradley to Win the WGC HSBC Championship 40-1 odds  Bet $50 to Win $2000

After last nights round Keegan stands two shots back at 9 under, in 4th place with the leader Fredrick Jacobson at 11 under.  Adam Scott and Louis Oosthuizen are both at 10 under.  Oostie shot a 63 to tie the course record.  I saw this coming after watch only two holes played and tweeted my worry.  The course was soft from rain and the darts were flying.  Keegan had his chance to maintain the lead but missed a few puts and hit a few bad shots.  But he saved par twice down the stretch.  This is where I like him.  Back in the pack just enough to start roaring forward at the right time like he did in the PGA.   He had his first tweet since the tourney started and he seems relaxed about where he stands. Two rounds in the books, with two to go, and a 40-1 shot right in the mix.  I’ll take it.

News & Notes

- I took down (by the hair on my chinny chin chin), the Under 45.5 bet in the Florida St./Boston College game. The final was 45!  Thank you Florida St. for running the ball and having mercy in the 2nd half and playing good defense.  They could have made this 50-7 if they wanted to.  BC is awful. Goodbye to the longest consecutive Bowl streak in the country, no Chick-fil-a for you!

- So with all of the pending bets ($695 in play), the balance is sitting at $102.22 and will stay there if I go 0-5 on football.  If I win all of the football bets the Kitty would stand at at a healthy $1,357.22.  If my nag comes in on the long shot golf bet I am looking good even if I do go 0-5.  The truth will most likely be somewhere in the middle. But I do have a good feeling on the football.

- I will continue to tweet during the Golf as long as I don’t fall asleep.  I made it to about 2:40am last night.  If Keegan is in the hunt on Saturday night I will Red Bull my way to the 4am finish for sure.

- Still have not decided on who take in my Deal Pool (article below), but I will try to convince my teammates to take KC but I may lose that battle and have to go with Oakland.

- Thanks for checking in, Happy betting.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  94-87-4
Win/Push Percentage = 52.97%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-17-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-8
Best Best Win Percentage = 66.66%

Kitty Total = $797.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($344.21.)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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Start of Something Good?

Posted on November 03, 2011

One down...three to go

Nothing like waking up on the couch to the sound of the newspaper hitting your door.  There is a price to pay for attempting to watch live golf in China.  I made it through 13 holes before nodding off into a peaceful dream state.  This state brought on by my 40-1 pick to win the final World Golf Championship event of the year, sailing to the top of the leaderboard.  Vermont native Keegan Bradley finished with a bogey free 7 under 65 to take an early 2 stroke lead.  I had a feeling things were looking good when on 18 (Bradley’s 9th hole of the day), he striped his second shot on the par 5 with a hybrid, over water, to 20 feet, and sunk it for Eagle.  That put him into the lead at 4 under, and he bagged 3 more Birds on the 2nd nine.

There is forever and a day to go in this thing.  As any well traveled superstitious sports bettor will attest, it is an uneasy feeling having the day one lead.  More often than not the leader after the first day does not win the tournament.  I would have almost preferred Bradley to be at 5 or 6 under, sitting in the background without the spotlight and standing room only press tent routine.  However there have been some young wire to wire winners lately including McIlroy, crushing the 2011 U.S. Open field from beginning to end.  Keegan is smashing it off the tee, consistently outdriving his playing partners, Lee Westwood and Adam Scott, and the belly putter is on target.  Having won twice this year including a major (PGA), he has been in this position before and seems like a cool customer.  It was only a year ago that this kid was on the Nationwide Tour where he finished 14th on the money list to earn his card for the big show.  Pretty good rookie year so far.

Actually, interesting side note here.  Keegan is not only a lock for rookie of the year but may take PGA player of the year honors as well.  Normally the vote for that prize has already happened at this point in the season.  In what will become a growing story should Keegan win (yes, first name basis for my 40-1 horse) is that, PGA players have fresh ballots in there hands and may choose to vote for the wombat kid over Luke Donald.  The englishmen has two wins, the money title, and the low scoring average title, to go with top 10′s galore.  He sits out this event with his wife expecting (i.e. “I have made gobs of money this year and I don’t want to go to China”), and the PGA announces they will be sending out the ballots a little late this year.  The golf media is making a stink over it, and as I said, if Keegan keeps winning this will be the big story this week.  It already started: Asked if his opening 65 might have made Donald nervous, Bradley laughed.  ”Maybe,” he said. “You know, all I’m trying to do is win this golf tournament. I know there’s a lot on the line, and there’s some awards to be won. I’m sure Luke is not very interested in this tournament. I’m sure he’s sleeping. But I hope to keep playing well and those fall where they fall.”  From my standpoint this crap is just another distraction that I don’t want him even thinking about.  I hope he can just play and relax.  No tweets for him since the start of the tourney though, he may be getting tight already, or he has a no talk for 4 days policy.  Whatever the case, a two G possible win just got one step closer.

Bet of the Night

Florida St Vs. Boston College Under 45.5 Total  Bet $110 to win $100

This game is on national TV (ESPN)?  God help us.  The only way this game even looks half full is if BC drops tickets out of a helicopter over the Occupy Boston crowd.  This will be snooze fest, but something to watch leading up to golf.  BC is a dog by 14.5 points, which I would not touch with a ten foot pole.  Florida State is not what they used to be and BC may even keep this close for a little while.  The defense is not awful and they keep the score down in this one for the under to come in a winner.

News & Notes

- Had a friend of mind (Dan the Man) recommend the Chris Herren ESPN film Unguarded.  Mind blowing.  A must watch for sure.  The level at which he played, with the stuff he was on at the time, is just plain Fall River crazy.

- So I attempted tweeting during a live event for the first time.  I got bored and distracted pretty quick (and then fell asleep), but it is interesting and I will try it again with something a little more exciting than golf.  And yes I was tweeting to one person, who I am sure was in bed.

- Facebook confounds me.  Apparently because I set my page up as a “Business Page” and not a “Personnel Page” I can’t do half the crap, like friend requests and other BS.  Work in progress, but I thought Zuckerberg was smart.  The functionality is clunky and weird, and at times it is a very slow moving site.  Get it together guys or you might lose everyone to Winklevoss.com someday.

- (little girly voice)  ”Basketball may not happen this year… what are we going to do”!!  Shut- up!  I hope the season never even tips off.  Then my prediction may come true and it becomes the 5th major sport.  Mind you I am talking NBA only, March Madness is sublime.

- I have a tough decision this week in my NFL Drop Dead pool.  I entered this with 3 other people and we had 4 teams/picks to start but we are down to just one who has survived.  So far we have taken:

Week Pick
1 Houston Texans
2 New Orleans Saints
3 San Diego Chargers
4 Green Bay Packers
5 New England Patriots
6 Pittsburgh Steelers
7 Dallas Cowboys
8 New York Giants

This leaves us with a really only two choices that make sense heading into week 9.  The Oakland Raiders at home versus Tebow and the Bronco’s, or The Kansas City Chiefs at home versus the shitty Dolphins.  Not a huge fan of either but thats what you get in a drop dead come week 9 when you have taken heavy favorites the whole way.

- Speaking of the Dolphins why does Parcels seem to get a free pass on taking this team into the toilet. He was still running things up till last year.  He must have saw what a bad team he had and jumped ship….again.

- Getting ready for the World Series of Poker November 7th.  Live final table (30 minutes delay so you can still see the hole cards), this will be long and pretty boring, but this event has tweeting updates written all over it.  When they get down to the final three they will stop play and resume on the 9th in primetime.  There will be some long odds bets for this event as well.

- Ozzy’s plan worked on Survivor, got back in the game only to have the Harvard Law student nerd flip tribes and change the game around.  I am such a geek for this show.

- Howard Stern needs a shot in the arm.  The show is getting really slow and tired.  Replace the Artie Lange chair with Jim Brewer and breathe some life into this thing.

- Golf is on 11pm to 4 am on the Golf Channel.

- I had the Front Page of the site modified to show the last seven days of posts.  No more going to archives for very recent articles.

- Heavy action coming on the NFL, picks will be out tomorrow.  I guess I have to say it this way , but I do it under protest.  Please “Like” me on Facebook.  Also join Twitter, and spread the word. Thanks for checking in.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  93-87-4
Win/Push Percentage = 52.71%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-17-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-8
Best Best Win Percentage = 66.66%

Kitty Total = $697.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($444.21.)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


One Response

  1. kevins:

    Great follow up to the ESPN Chris Herren special. http://sports.espn.go.com/espnradio/podcast/archive?id=2864045

    1 hr interview with Bill Simmons talking about the documentary and some more interesting stuff about his time with the celtics.

    08.11.2011 09:39 Reply

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Taking A Flyer

Posted on November 01, 2011

Bradley, VT boy done good!

When you run bad, you run bad.  Scraped and clawed my way back in that game last night to a guaranteed push.  All Rivers had to do for San Diego was take a snap and down it, kick the field goal and I get my dough back.  He fumbles. OT ensues.  Now I could maybe cover?  Not to be.  Loss.

Doing some work today and tomorrow on the site.  I spent many hours fumbling around with Twitter and Facebook and I may be close to having then set up and connected to the site, I just need to finish up. In the meantime I made a Long Odds bet:

Bet of the Day:

Keegan Bradley to Win The WGC HSBC Championships 40 to 1 Bet $50 to win $2000

Studied all the stats.  Had a natural drop off after winning the PGA and blanked in the first two Fed Ex Cup events missing both cuts.  Then he came back to finish 16th (BMW) and 11th (Tour Championship Coca Cola) .  He then won the made for TV PGA Grand Slam against the other three 2011 major champions about a week ago. This is his first time playing this course in China, but loves it according to his Tweets. Big odds for sure, and Rory is in the field at 5 to 1, but it will be something to watch on the Golf Channel starting tomorrow night from 11pm to 4 am each night.

News & Notes:

- I have some strong opinions on the NFL lines this weekend.  I will publish those on Friday.

- Bored to Death on HBO is back and still very ridiculous at times, but other times it nails it really hard. Belly hurts.

- Congrats to LaRussa, nice way to go out.  He got some flack for Game 5, but in the end managed the pants off of Ron Washington.

- Keep reading and pass it on, or re-tweet it, or fb it, or whatever?

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  93-87-4
Win/Push Percentage = 52.71%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-17-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-6

Best Bets = 16-8
Best Best Win Percentage = 66.66%

Kitty Total = $697.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($444.21.)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


One Response

  1. Ross:

    Facebook and Twitter set up, working on the icons

    02.11.2011 10:58 Reply

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Nightmare on St. Louis Street!

Posted on October 31, 2011

Betting Massacre The only thing hotter than my picks the last two weeks was the humble pie I got served this weekend.  I started the festivities by picking the wrong horse to take game seven of the World Series.  Yes, I had said I thought the Cards would win the series before the first pitch was thrown, but in typical over-thinker fashion I outsmarted myself.  I then entered a comment to the Friday article on Saturday saying I was betting on two UFC fights.  The first was a 2 to 1 underdog, but I could not see the old Croatian legend Mirko Cro Cop losing to the fat mullet man in Roy “Big Country” Nelson.  Cro Cop had some good shots on Roy, and even landed his famous roundhouse leg kick.  But Nelson’s chin was unreal and he eventually got his huge fat frame on top of Cro Cop and pounded him into a stoppage in the third round.  The other fight was the main event of the evening.  BJ “The Prodigy” Penn versus Nick Diaz.  I was a small dog in this one as well but I was confident.  Every other fight BJ shows up out of shape having sipped to many mai tai’s on the big island.  Also he was going up against a cardio fiend in Diaz, with a ground game to match or even surpass BJ’s.  Diaz pounded BJ out of the UFC as a despondednt Penn ran out of the ring only saying to Joe Rogan, “I am done, I don’t want my kids seeing me like this”.  So at this point I lost $100 on the World Series, and gained $30 on UFC, not to bad right?

Then came my four NFL picks.  I had two 1:00pm bets going and watched in horror as the Dolphins to a 14-3 lead in the 2nd quarter and I was giving 9.5 points!  Not only was this bet over, but I also had selected the Giants in my drop dead pool…yikes!  This quickly turned from somehow rooting for and amazing comeback cover, to just get the win…please.  At the same time I had my best bet pick of the weekend going, and what a pick it was.  The New Orleans Saints would clearly crush the winless St. Louis Rams by two touchdowns right?  They loose outright getting smoked by 10 and never had a chance.  I guess the fact that the Cards were honored at the Rams game could be considered a bit of irony for me?  The Giants end up saving my drop dead pool but lose the bet. 0-2 heading into the 4:00pm games and a loss of $315.  As I am watching the Patriots getting beat up all over the field I am clicking to the red zone for updates on my third NFL pick of the weekend, the San Fran versus Cleveland game in which I am getting 9 points.  San Fran cruises to a 17-0 lead.  It looks like its going to just be one of those days.  The Browns actually decide to tease me a little and have several chances to get within 9 and give me a much needed win, but alas… I lose, again, another $120 gone on that one.  That makes $505 down heading into my last bet of the night.  I took the Eagles -3 versus the Cowboys and I finally get a reprieve.  The Eagles demolish the Boys and I finish the weekend going from $1,217 to $812.

Monday night looms, all hollows eve is upon us and my TiVo will be in full effect as I walk around the neighborhood avoiding other dads who may be inclined to talk pigskin.  Should be in candy sorting mode by kickoff so I think I will be in good shape.  Interesting matchup with San Diego coming off blowing one to the Jets.  They are on the road again and facing the Chiefs in that crazy Arrowhead sea of red.  The Chiefs have comeback a little from a horrid start and this is a division game.  I need a win to right the ship again, and this pie taste awful.

News & Notes

- What is the over under on shots of people in costume for tonights game?  I will set the line at 38.

Bet of the Night

San Diego -3 Vs. Kansas City  Bet $115 to win $100

The crowd is not a factor if you get off to an early lead.  I think the skill players come up big for San Diego and KC’s offense struggles.  Rivers shakes off the multi pick game bug he has been stricken with and eats up KC with over the middle throws via a poor KC pass rush.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  93-86-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.00%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 19-16-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-8
Best Best Win Percentage = 66.66%

Kitty Total = $817.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  -($324.21.)

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


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Week 8 Picks & The World Series!

Posted on October 28, 2011

Who Get's This?

Some have called it a classic.  Some have tweeted “best game ever”.  One thing is for sure, as I have said before, nothing beats playoff baseball.  The intensity, the story lines, and yes the drama, of a seven game series can not be matched.  That game last night while not the best ever (to many errors for that), was absolutely riveting.  I watched it later into the night than most as I played in a poker game that had me getting home around 11:30 pm eastern No wins in 4 games but one cash for 2nd place coming back from one chip).  Having two bets on the game I had to watch and resisted the temptation to fast forward.  I won both bets by the 7th inning and continued to watch for the pure joy the rest of the way, until I heard alarm clocks going off upstairs.  Needless to say, I am a little tired at the moment.  Also there is still room on the Freese Bandwagon, come aboard.

When this series started I said I liked the underdog Cardinals, but I am not a fan of betting an entire series outcome.  I prefer to bet game by game.  Now here we are at Game 7 and I am glad I made that decision to not bet the series because I would be locked in to the Cardinals tonight, with Carpenter on three days rest. This I am not a fan of, and it is something the New Hampshire native has never done before.  Matt Holliday is out with a bad wrist as well.  I am going with the Rangers (who are not favored).

Have to bang out the picks for this weekend as its a busy Friday night and Saturday around here.  I do not even have time to crow about being above the starting number of $1,141.43 for the first time in forever.  It may not last long as I am laying $650 on this line tonight and this weekend. Things are heating up.

Bets of the Night/Weekend

Texas Rangers To Win Game 7  Vs. St. Louis Cardinals  Bet $100 to Win $123

Just like another home team many years back won game six with a big walk-off home run and went on to lose Game 7 in front of stunned fans, so will be the case here.  This game will lack the drama of the last one as the Rangers get to Carpenter early and the bull pen holds on.

Saints -13.5 Vs. Rams  Bet $210 to win $200

Lot of points for the road, and I do not see the Saints putting up 6o plus points in this one, but the Rams are a sieve on defense leading me to make this a best bet.

Giants -9.5 Vs. Dolphins  Bet $105 to win $100

Miami on the road.  Miami is looking for two things right now.  A coach and the first pick in the draft. The only thing keeping me from doubling up on this one is of course Eli.

Browns +9 Vs. 49er’s  Bet $120 to win $100

San Fran despite its record should not be favored by this many to anyone, even at home.  No Hillis for the Browns but I think they keep this close and McCoy makes the throws he needs to make.

Eagles -3 Vs. Cowboys Bets $115 to win $100

Vick runs around enough to avoid the big Dallas rushers while Romo pulls a Romo at some point. This spread was 3.5 but I paid a little extra to make it a straight 3 point spread.

Have a good weekend, check in for a possible weekend update article.

Stats:

50/50Bets:Record Overall =  91-81-4
Win/Push Percentage = 53.97%

NFL Record Overall  (2011 Season) = 18-13-2

Monday Night Bets Record = 5-5

Best Bets = 16-7
Best Best Win Percentage = 69.56%

Kitty Total = $1,217.22

Sportsbook
Profit/Loss =  +$75.79

Long Odds Bets:
Record = 1-24
Money Invested = $510.00
Winnings = $300.00


One Response

  1. Ross:

    FYI, UFC tonight and I placed two bets, Cro Cop over Roy Nelson Bet $100 to win $200, Nick Diaz over BJ Penn in the main event Bet $100 to win $130. Nice Job Cards (always trust the first instinct gut play).

    29.10.2011 13:22 Reply

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